The pending plea deal between opposition leader Netanyahu and Spokesman Mandelblit has - as expected - become the talk of the day in the political system.
Some believe that a plea bargain will not lead to the dissolution of the government, but on the other hand, there is speculation that the government will disband and there are even those who point to a point in time: this coming summer.
Opinions are divided between the party leaders and the MKs. Most of the party leaders, members by virtue of their position in the government, estimate that Netanyahu's plea agreement will have no effect on the government. "What will happen now?
Who will give up his positions to bring in the Likud?
Will Bennett move from the prime minister's chair?
Shaked will vacate the Ministry of the Interior?
Saar will give up the Ministry of Justice?
Bnei Gantz will move from the Ministry of Defense?
Certainly not.
"You have to be realistic, no one will move to be a junior minister or deputy minister to make room for Yoav Galant or Yariv Levin."
According to the senior official, even a scenario of dissolving the government and then an election is unlikely.
"There are more than 70 right-wing seats. The left-wing parties have not been in power for twenty years. It is clear that the Labor and Meretz parties have no interest in going to the polls.
Add to that the situation in the right-wing parties - right and new hope - which have serious problems in the base and in the polls, and also have no interest in going to the polls.
Lieberman does not want a government with religious Zionism or the ultra-Orthodox, so he has no interest in another government.
Bnei Gantz loves the Ministry of Defense and enjoys his position.
Nobody has an interest in dismantling the government. "
Opposition leader MK Benjamin Netanyahu, Photo: Oren Ben Hakon
"Bang this coming summer"
Despite the confidence in the MKs' environment, there is uncertainty and skepticism about the coalition's ability to complete its days in the face of the emerging plea deal.
"It will take time for the Likud to elect another chairman, at least for a few months.
Until then, there is no reason for anything to happen.
But it should be remembered that this government depends on the tip of one vote.
The pressure on the right-wing MKs may increase and intensify. After Netanyahu is gone, it will be difficult for them to explain why they are not taking action and forming a right-wing government. Ayelet Shaked has always said she prefers a government with the right.
The pressure on Nir Auerbach is enormous, and people like Yoaz Handel or Zvi Hauser, who are strongly rooted on the right and only oppose Netanyahu in person, will also have to issue explanations.
Think also of Zeev Elkin who made significant political upheavals in his life.
In short, there is a chance that in a few months, this summer, we will see a change in the political map. "
Bennett v. Commentators
The Prime Minister himself yesterday dismissed the assessments surrounding the future of his government and said: "For all the various political commentators, along with all the graphs and scenarios - rest your mind. The Israeli government works and continues to work, in quiet and good work, done day after day for Israeli citizens."
Finance Minister Avigdor Lieberman said that "it is clear that Netanyahu will try to return to politics at every opportunity. We will see a campaign of pressure on the president with the demand to grant him a pardon."
Health Minister Nitzan Horowitz claimed: "There was no person who endangered the rule of Israeli law more than Netanyahu. The man who used the prime minister's chair to intimidate lawyers and judges, investigators and journalists. "The greatest corrupters must exhaust the law. It is in the public interest."
Another source in the coalition said that the scenarios that may develop from Netanyahu's departure strengthen the right.
"The current Knesset is the most right-wing ever. Once Netanyahu leaves, many options open up. A new government may be formed in the current Knesset when the right-wing government is homogeneous. There may also be elections and then, even if not in the current majority, the right will get a majority."
Participated in the preparation of the article: Ariel Kahana
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