With less than three months to go before the first round of the presidential election, nearly one in two French people (48%) are considering a victory for the outgoing president, Emmanuel Macron, according to an Elabe Opinion 2022 poll for BFMTV, carried out on a sample of 1003 people representative of residents of mainland France aged 18 and over and published on Tuesday.
The right-wing candidate, Valérie Pécresse, only won 14% of the vote.
Marine Le Pen obtains the same score.
Behind, 6% of the French see a victory for Éric Zemmour, and 5% imagine Jean-Luc Mélenchon winning.
All the other candidates are below the 3% mark.
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LREM supporters overwhelmingly support and believe in the candidacy of the outgoing president at 91%.
Marine Le Pen has a good side, with 65% of those close to the RN who are hopeful of seeing their candidate win.
Support that falls on the side of the Republicans with 52% of supporters who see a victory for their candidate Valérie Pécresse.
Low confidence also perceived by Reconquête (54%).
Left-wing sympathizers with little confidence
Numbers that tumble on the left side. Supporters of La France Insoumise believe only 39% in the victory of Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Only 16% of socialist voters see Anne Hidalgo or Christiane Taubira winning. And 11% of environmentalists believe in a victory for Yannick Jadot, yet ranked higher in the polls than the mayor of Paris or the former Minister of Justice.
On Monday, a poll already placed the president in the lead, ahead of Marine Le Pen and Valérie Pécresse, neck and neck.
According to this "rolling" survey (carried out on the principle of a rolling accumulation of waves of daily surveys) by the Ifop-Fiducial institute for Paris Match, LCI and Sud Radio, Emmanuel Macron, still not an official candidate, would obtain 24.5 % (-0.5 points), ahead of the RN candidate at 17% (+ 1) and that of LR 16.5% (=).
Éric Zemmour would come in fourth place with 12.5% (-1.5%).
Five left-wing candidates then arrive: Jean-Luc Mélenchon (9%, +0.5), Yannick Jadot (5.5%, -0.5), Christiane Taubira 4%, -0.5), Anne Hidalgo (3 %, -0.5), Fabien Roussel (2%, =).