Warning shot for Söder: CSU slips completely in the survey
Created: 2022-01-20 11:54 am
By: Mike Schier, Christian Deutschlaender
Markus Söder shouldn't like BR's new Bayern trend.
© Peter Kneffel/dpa
Markus Söder and the CSU will not like that: In the BR's new "Bayern trend" the party loses significantly.
Skeptics had feared even worse.
Munich – The CSU has fallen significantly in the
BR
Bavarian trend from Infratest dimap from January 2022.
Compared to the last state political survey in January 2021, the CSU lost twelve percentage points to 36 percent.
The biggest winners were the SPD (14 percent/+7 points), the FDP (7/+4) and the AfD (10/+3).
The Free Voters remain unchanged at 8 percent.
The Greens are the losers (16/-3).
The Bavarian coalition of CSU and Free Voters currently has no majority.
The next state election will take place in autumn 2023.
Bayern trend: Less satisfaction with Söder – Aiwanger also loses sympathy
The Bayerntrend, regularly commissioned by the
BR
magazine "Kontrovers", is the most important survey in state politics. All parties are watching closely how popularity ratings and competency data are developing. The fact that the Prime Minister and his deputy both lose a lot is therefore important: Prime Minister Markus Söder loses eight percentage points – 55 percent are still satisfied with him. In the case of the once very popular Hubert Aiwanger, it is 36 percent satisfaction (minus 18). Did the public hesitation in vaccination cost more sympathy than it brought?
Overall, the satisfaction of the Bavarians with their state government is falling significantly, especially in the Corona policy.
Only eight percent of those surveyed are very satisfied with the course in fighting the pandemic (minus 7) and 39 percent are satisfied (minus 6), for the first time a majority of Bavarians are less satisfied (32 percent) or not at all (32).
Part of the Bayerntrend ritual is that the parties pick out the pleasant values.
In the "The arrow for the CSU is clearly pointing upwards," says Secretary General Markus Blume, because he takes the 32 percent from the Bundestag election evening (with the Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet) as a benchmark.
"The direction is right." There is definitely no imagination for a traffic light alliance against the CSU in Bavaria.
Without the CSU, nothing would work in government.
In the 2018 state election, the CSU got 37.2 percent.
Bayern trend: Söder's satisfaction value worse than that of Chancellor Scholz
Green parliamentary group leader Ludwig Hartmann sees "room for improvement".
He would like to establish the Greens as a modernization party: “With a clean energy supply, with fair prices and appreciation for agriculture, with a climate-neutral restructuring of the economy.” His FDP colleague Martin Hagen, on the other hand, praises his party’s best result in twelve years.
"It is paying off that we stayed the course in the Corona policy, even in the face of rough headwinds."
Söder's personal values are also difficult in a nationwide comparison: his satisfaction values of 55 percent are well behind Daniel Günther (Schleswig-Holstein/72 percent), Manuela Schwesig (Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania/71), Malu Dreyer (Rhineland-Palatinate/66) or Winfried Kretschmann (Baden-Württemberg/65).
Even the Left Bodo Ramelow is more popular in Thuringia with 56 percent.
For the sake of fairness, however, it should be said that the values were obtained at different times - in Corona times, however, the fluctuations are often very strong.
Incidentally, 60 percent are currently satisfied with Chancellor Olaf Scholz.
