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epidemic. Analysis | Diagnosed cases hit a new high, the invisible transmission chain is difficult to find out the tracking speed is the key

2022-01-27T23:10:19.998Z


In the past day, there were 164 new cases in Hong Kong, a single-day high since the outbreak of the epidemic in Hong Kong two years ago. The fifth wave of the epidemic is on the verge of getting out of control. Even the Chief Executive, Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor, has also stated that a community outbreak is very likely to occur.


In the past day, there were 164 new cases in Hong Kong, a record high in a single day since the outbreak of the epidemic in Hong Kong two years ago. The fifth wave of the epidemic is on the verge of getting out of control. Even Chief Executive Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor has indicated that a community outbreak is very likely.


The CHP also mentioned that as of Thursday (27th), a total of 30 cases of the fifth wave of the epidemic have not been able to find the source of infection. Director Xu Lejian also admitted that some cases are tracking their whereabouts, offices, restaurants, etc. It also failed to link other cases. "It's really impossible to find the source."


It is worth noting that the epidemic does not seem to be under control, because 12 of the 30 cases whose source was not found were diagnosed on Thursday (27th). In other words, the invisible transmission chain in the community seems to have a tendency to spread, and cutting off the transmission is still "behind the scenes".


On January 27, On Shun Building in Kwun Tong was enclosed.


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Since the outbreak of the fifth wave of the epidemic in Yat Kwai House, Kwai Chung Village, the number of confirmed cases has risen sharply. However, after the housing estate has been enclosed and banned for several days, the number of newly confirmed cases has indeed declined. The CHP also agrees with the people of the estate. The epidemic has eased.

However, Hong Kong was attacked by two mutated viruses, omicron and delta at the same time. In addition to the suspected detonation of hamsters in the pet shop, a man who kept hamsters in Haoyuan was also infected with the virus, and his colleagues and mother were also infected, spreading the transmission chain again. Going out, the latter is more believed to be the source of the large-scale infection that detonated the Changbo Building in Caiyun Village. Because of the need to patrol the building for security work, the epidemic spread faster.

On January 27, some residents of Changbo Building in Caiyun Village were evacuated


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The government is also at a disadvantage in responding to the epidemic. It can only continue to adopt enclosed testing, mandatory testing announcements, and a series of social distancing measures. Fundamentally, it is still "catching up behind". Even if a case is found, the patient may already be in the community. After wandering for a period of time, it is very likely that the virus has expanded its enemies.

Despite this, Chief Executive Carrie Lam still decided to extend measures such as the ban on dine-in in the evening market, and stated that the vaccine pass would be implemented to the end, and even predicted that it would cover "all indoor places."

However, one case should not be ignored by the community, because a contract service officer of the Housing Department working in Choi Wan (1) Village Office contracted the virus. Because she had participated in the testing operation for the closure of Yak Kwai House, she also worked in Choi Wan Village, where the epidemic broke out. At work, the source of the infection is not yet known, but fortunately, it is the omicron in Yikui Building and the delta in Caiyun Village. I believe that after genetic sequencing, we can know the most likely source.

However, if the infection is caused by participating in the closure of the area, it is disproved that the government personnel involved in the operation may have been exposed to risks.

▼1.27 Residents of Kwai Chung Village continue to be tested according to regulations▼


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In response to various circumstances, the Hong Kong government is still "catching up behind" in stopping the spread of the virus. If there are more cases in Kwai Chung Village after the lockdown is lifted, the risk of community outbreak will be even higher. In pursuit of the goal of dynamic clearing, it is necessary to make the mainland It seems that the government still has a long way to go to ease customs clearance and relax social distancing measures.

Source: hk1

All news articles on 2022-01-27

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