Did the rallies of several figures of the National Rally, including Gilbert Collard and MEP Jérôme Rivière, but also the deputy LR Guillaume Peltier, to Eric Zemmour weaken the candidacy of Marine Le Pen?
This is what 55% of French people think, 59% of supporters of the radical right (Rassemblement National, Debout La France and Reconquête) and 61% of all supporters of the right (UDI, Les Républicains, Debout la France , National Rally and Reconquest), according to an Odoxa Backbone-Consulting survey carried out for
Le Figaro.
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However, the leader of the RN remains for the moment in a position of strength against the nationalist candidate.
In all, 32% of French people have a good opinion of Marine Le Pen against only 22% for Eric Zemmour.
Among supporters of the radical right, the domination of the RN candidate is even clearer: 87% have a good opinion against 61% for the former polemicist.
The latter, indicates the director of Odoxa Gaël Sliman, achieves scores of very bad opinion "
almost unprecedented
" (54%, or 16 points more than Marine Le Pen).
“
He emerged spectacularly and was very strong in voting intentions from September to November
,” he explains.
"
But he did it by multiplying the provocations.
If it was effective at first, it also helped to make it detestable in the eyes of many French people.
»
Marine Le Pen considered more competent
Less liked therefore and above all, according to this survey, less competent. Marine Le Pen is considered capable of leading France by 58% of supporters of the radical right against only 34% for Eric Zemmour. And in the match between the two candidates, which one is capable of winning the presidential election? Again, Marine Le Pen is acclaimed. "
However, it is an indicator on which it could have lost a few points
", remarks Gaël Sliman. “
Given the support for Eric Zemmour, the right-wing electorate could have thought that Marine Le Pen had less chance of winning the election.
»
In detail, 39% of right-wing sympathizers consider her capable of finishing at the head of the country against 21% for Eric Zemmour.
"
This may be explained by the fact that the support garnered by Eric Zemmour are not top names either: many of the deputies or personalities were not known
", judge Gaël Sliman.
“
There is Gilbert Collard but he is an ambivalent figure.
It is not necessarily always an asset to have it with you.
»
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In
Figaro
, Marion Maréchal indicated that she could join the campaign of the Reconquest candidate.
“
Consistency, vision, strategy make me lean towards Éric Zemmour.
For sure.
But there is a family subject,
”confided the former National Front deputy for Vaucluse in our columns.
“
Marion Maréchal is very popular with the electorate of the right and the conservative or radical right.
Perhaps if she formalized her support, that would change the situation
, ”advances the director of Odoxa.
For the moment, in any case, 62% of sympathizers of the radical right do not want this rallying.
Nearly 6 out of 10 also want her to announce her support for Marine Le Pen.
“
This electorate, unlike all French people, wants her to return to politics but does not particularly want her to do so alongside Eric Zemmour
”, concludes Gaël Sliman.
Check out the full study:
Impact of rallies on the image of Marine Le Pen and Eric Zemmour (Odoxa _ BackboneConsulting _ Le Figaro)