Latest published work by Jean-Marie Guéhenno: “Le Premier XXIe siècle. From globalization to the fragmentation of the world” (Flammarion, 2021, 384 p., €21.90).
LE FIGARO.- Thirty years after the fall of the USSR, Vladimir Putin is relaunching the Ukrainian crisis.
Should we see a desire for revenge and restoration of the lost empire?
Why is this “poker move” happening now?
Jean-Marie GUEHENNO.
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Putin, like many Russians, thinks that the new European order that emerged in the 1990s reflects a moment of extreme weakness in Russia and that it must be revised.
He has been very clear on this point on many occasions, notably at the Munich security conference in 2007. He has been ignored.
A combination of factors explains why he is acting now: Russia is militarily stronger, it is better prepared to withstand sanctions thanks to the considerable reserves of the central bank (about 600 billion dollars) and a high price of oil (almost …
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