RKI reports 198 dead - modelers give a fairly precise time when the omicron wave breaks

Created: 02/12/2022, 09:45 am

By: Martina Lippl

Has the omicron wave peaked in Germany?

Experts doubt that. © Michael Gstettenbauer/imago

The corona incidence in Germany has increased again.

However, the meaningfulness of the figures is limited.

The news ticker for the corona pandemic in Germany.

• Corona incidence in Germany continues to rise on Saturday - to a new high.

• Expert: The peak of the omicron wave has not yet been reached.

• This news ticker for the Corona* pandemic in Germany is updated regularly.

Berlin – What else do the numbers say about the infection process in Germany?

Is the omicron wave peaking?

The official number of corona cases from the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) has apparently reached a plateau.

It is difficult to judge whether these official figures reflect the real infection process.

The health authorities can no longer keep up with reporting the corona cases.

The PCR test capacities are tight.

However, only the cases tested via PCR are included in the statistics.

That could be a reason.

Or are actually fewer people infected.

In the past 24 hours, 209,789 positive corona tests have been reported to the RKI (previous day: 240,172).

Another 198 people in Germany died with or from Corona.

This emerges from the data of the Covid 19 dashboard of the RKI on Saturday.

According to the RKI, the incidence is 1474.3 and thus higher than ever.

Corona incidence in Germany rises to a new high

Corona case numbers in Germany: RKI reports 209,789 on Saturday (as of February 12, 2022)

Corona expert Brockmann: Omicron wave will soon reach its peak

Corona modeler Dirk Brockmann nevertheless expects that the peak of the omicron wave will soon be reached.

"The course of this omicron wave is now peaking and we expect that the maximum will then be reached in the next few days," said the physicist from Berlin's Humboldt University on Friday on Deutschlandfunk (Dlf).

According to his forecasts, the maximum was reached in mid-February.

The number of corona patients in intensive care fell sharply until the beginning of February.

Since then, the number has been increasing - albeit at a low level.

There are currently 2,375 Covid patients in the intensive care units in Germany.

1,163 of them have to be artificially ventilated.

This emerges from the data of the DIVI intensive care register on Saturday (February 12).

The day before there were still 2,360 seriously ill corona patients who had to be treated in an intensive care unit.

The number of corona-infected patients who came to clinics per 100,000 inhabitants within seven days was 6.46 according to the RKI on Friday (Thursday: 6.23).

These may also include people with a positive corona test who have another main illness.

Uncertainty factor omicron subvariant BA.2

The omicron subvariant BA.2.

is an element of uncertainty.

This variant of the coronavirus is even more contagious than the currently dominant omicron variant BA.1.

The proportion of the omicron subvariant BA.2 is still small in this country.

It was 8.1 percent at the end of January, as can be read in the current RKI weekly report (February 10).

"In terms of clinical characteristics, there is currently no evidence that BA.2 infections differ from BA.1 infections," the report states.

In the middle of the debate about possible corona loosening, experts have recently repeatedly pointed out the new BA.2 subtype, which has already spread widely in countries such as Denmark.

This is therefore also possible in Germany and, according to many, could ensure that the omicron wave lasts longer.