The riots in Sheikh Jarrah, the weakness of the PA and Hamas' incitement: "2022 will be particularly violent in Judea and Samaria"

Intelligence sources pointed to the deteriorating economic situation of the PA, which joins dissatisfaction with it on the Palestinian side, an increase in price tag events and tense elections in Fatah.

With all this in the background, the East Jerusalem area is on fire and Hamas is in a hurry to stir up the street, the defense establishment understands that they must strengthen Abu Mazen

Amir Bohbot

14/02/2022

Monday, 14 February 2022, 13:32

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In the video: Clashes resumed in Sheikh Jarrah: Large police forces at the scene, 8 arrested (Photo: Roni Kanfo)

Against the background of the riots in Sheikh Jarrah, intelligence sources mark 2022 as a particularly explosive and violent period in Judea and Samaria.

In recent weeks, there have been discussions led by Defense Minister Bnei Gantz and Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Aviv Kochavi regarding the Palestinian Authority's situation and the potential for explosives in Judea and Samaria

. Confidence, in 2021 the Authority received only 17% of the total commitments to aid the United States, Europe and other countries, resulting in a significant deficit and delays in many projects.

"The various countries have made it clear to Abu Mazen that in order to receive funds he must carry out substantial reforms, not only in the structure of the authority, but also in terms of security prisoners, their families and more."

According to intelligence sources, the economic crisis will deepen and worsen in 2022, against the background of a reduction in the volume of aid and donations, subject to reforms that the Palestinians are having difficulty carrying out.

When all this joins the problems of functioning and dissatisfaction of the Palestinian street with the PA, the chances of tension increase.

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"2022 will be particularly violent."

The riots in Sheikh Jarrah, yesterday (Photo: Flash 90, Olbia Fitoussi)

Another reason for the explosive forecast and the tense situation in the West Bank is the rise in national crime figures, price tag operations and the growing friction between Israelis and Palestinians as part of a land struggle.

Palestinian Authority mechanisms find it difficult to contain the events and prevent violent reactions.

According to estimates by the Central Command and intelligence agencies, the violence in 2022 will increase and without increased actions of the enforcement system and deterrent punishment, the process may get out of control.

"The Palestinians will not stand still while setting fire to a family home as happened in the village of Duma," a senior military official said.

Another issue on the agenda has to do with the Fatah Revolutionary Council elections, a council established in the 1960s and intended to mediate between the General Conference and the organization's small central committee, in five weeks.

Hundreds of representatives from dozens of countries are expected to attend the West Bank elections.

Potential for arson and violence.

The riots in Sheikh Jarrah, yesterday (Photo: Flash 90, Olivier Fitoussi)

According to the assessment in the intelligence community, council members are expected to harshly criticize Abu Mazen's conduct and claim that the PA has not brought any news to the Palestinian people and a positive process since the Oslo Accords.

Violent clashes could begin long before the council elections, amid internal political tensions at the top of Fatah.

However, it is estimated that Abu Mazen may pull out a plan backed by the United States and Israel to calm the area.

To this end, under the guidance of the Minister of Defense, the IDF and the Ministry of Defense Digital and not manual taxation, payment of salaries online to tens of thousands of workers through the banks, an Israeli standard mark for Palestinian factories and more.

If that is not enough, intelligence sources point to recent events in Sheikh Jarrah as having the potential to ignite terrorism and violence, not only in the West Bank but also from the Gaza Strip.

Because of this, intelligence sources say, it is necessary for all parties to calm the area and prevent violence immediately.

This, especially when in the background Hamas is taking advantage of the sensitive situation to use incitement against the PA and embarrass Abu Mazen, who heads it, calling for violence and terrorism.

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• Army and Security

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• Judea and Samaria

• Abu Mazen

• Hamas

• the Palestinian Authority

• Sheikh Jarrah