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Ukraine War: Experts Speculate About Outcome - What Happens If Putin Wins?

2022-03-05T06:50:38.836Z


Ukraine War: Experts Speculate About Outcome - What Happens If Putin Wins? Created: 05/03/2022, 07:40 Russia's President Purin is waging war on Ukraine. (Archive image) © Sergei Guneyev/ dpa The Ukraine war is keeping people busy across Europe's borders. Experts are already speculating about possible scenarios of how the war could end. Moscow/ Kyiv - So far there is no prospect of relaxation i


Ukraine War: Experts Speculate About Outcome - What Happens If Putin Wins?

Created: 05/03/2022, 07:40

Russia's President Purin is waging war on Ukraine.

(Archive image) © Sergei Guneyev/ dpa

The Ukraine war is keeping people busy across Europe's borders.

Experts are already speculating about possible scenarios of how the war could end.

Moscow/ Kyiv - So far there is no prospect of relaxation in the Ukraine conflict: Even renewed peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia could not achieve a ceasefire.

Two urgent questions are currently posed for the European and Ukrainian population: What will happen if Russia loses the war?

And what happens if Russia actually wins?

Ukraine War: Expert Predicts What Will Happen If Russia Loses

A week after Russia's attack on Ukraine, it became apparent that Putin's plan to take Ukraine with a "lightning war" failed due to resistance from the Ukrainian population and soldiers.

Is a defeat of Russia likely?

Above all, this would require tough sanctions against Russia, as the Russia expert Gustav Gressel from the European Council on Foreign Relations in Berlin

explained to Die

Zeit .

These could enable Putin to retreat: even his role model Josef Stalin had to withdraw from his attack on Finland in 1940 because it did the Soviet Union more harm than good.

A defeat would cost Vladimir Putin his existence, so to speak.

In addition to imprisonment for war crimes, he could face a putsch from his own ranks, says historian Prof. Andreas Rödder in the

picture

.

He justifies this by saying that Putin largely isolated his country through far-reaching sanctions against Russia and caused enormous economic damage.

According to media reports, a Russian businessman even put a bounty on the president's head: he offered a million dollars on Twitter.

Russia's War on Ukraine: What Happens If Putin Wins?

The “worst case scenario” for all of Europe would likely be a Russian victory over Ukraine.

In an interview with Die Zeit

, Gressel speculated what this scenario might look like

.

Putin's goal is probably to turn Ukraine into a satellite state and to include the country in the Russian-Belarusian union state.

More information on the background of the Ukraine conflict here.

This could mean that Putin creates concentration camps for political enemies.

However, a Russian victory would also mean many restrictions for the country, says Gressel.

The EU and other countries would further tighten their sanctions, which would cause enormous damage to Russia's economy.

"Such a terrorist state would be much more impulsive and therefore much more dangerous for the West than the Soviet empire was," said the Russia expert.

Further negotiations between Ukraine and Russia next week could get closer to one of these scenarios. 

(sf)

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2022-03-05

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