Recently, the mainland's epidemic prevention policies have taken on two different faces.
The first aspect is that the epidemic prevention policy has become more stringent. The example is that under the recent wave of epidemics, many places have actually taken measures to close or semi-close the city, and even Shenzhen does not hesitate to damage economic development and At the cost of disrupting the normal life of the people, the city was once semi-closed.
Whether it’s the words of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on March 17 to “carry out prevention and control work strictly and practically”, “overcome paralyzing thoughts, war weariness, fluke mentality, and a relaxed mentality”, or the joint prevention and control mechanism of the State Council of China, the National Defense The Construction Committee's statement on "be strict and pragmatic" shows that China's epidemic prevention policy, at least at this stage, does tend to be more stringent.
The second aspect is that the epidemic prevention policy is loosening, and things are changing.
Whether it is the approval by the State Food and Drug Administration for the import registration of Pfizer's new coronavirus treatment drugs, which is included in the ninth edition of the new crown treatment plan, or Zeng Guang, the former chief epidemiologist of the National Center for Disease Control and Prevention, who proposed "exploring flexible and Controllable opening”, “In the near future, the roadmap of coexistence of Chinese style and virus will definitely be presented at the right time,” and Dr. Zhang Wenhong, director of the Department of Infectious Diseases of Huashan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University, said, “In the realization of widespread Countries with vaccination and natural infection rates, the new coronavirus may now be less deadly than the flu”, “For this virus, alleviating fear is the first step we must take”, or the ninth version of the new crown treatment plan optimizes case discovery and reporting procedures, The implementation of centralized isolation for mild cases, no longer being admitted to hospitals, and adjustment of measures such as the management of isolation and discharge, etc., all indicate that changes in China's epidemic prevention policy are in the pipeline.
These two faces are real, and together they form the overall picture of China's epidemic prevention policy.
The author analyzed it earlier in the article "When Things Are Changing When China Adjusts Epidemic Prevention Policies", because the reality of China and the West is different. Not only is China's per capita medical resources and medical technology level relatively limited, it has not been naturally infected like the West, causing a large number of deaths. Afterwards, herd immunity was formed; and the Chinese people’s concepts and value orientations are different from those of the West, and the proportion of the manufacturing industry characterized by intensive personnel contact in China’s economic structure far exceeds that of the West, so China’s future epidemic prevention policies will generally be more than The West is much stricter.
However, this does not prevent China from optimizing the epidemic prevention policy according to the situation of the epidemic, the characteristics of the virus and the progress of preparations to support the loosening of the epidemic prevention policy in the future.
After all, China, which has greatly benefited from the economic take-off and opening up since the reform and opening up, has a strong will to continue to develop its economy and open up from the top down. This means that as long as conditions permit, China will inevitably open up more vigorously. to restore the economic and social order to normal.
But at the same time, the vast majority of people in the mainland from top to bottom do not want to cause a large number of people to die from the epidemic. Therefore, the adjustment of the central epidemic prevention policy must be prudent and orderly, and it must be adapted to the epidemic situation, virus characteristics and preparations. .
It is based on this judgment that China must carry out "strict epidemic prevention" and "preparations to support the loosening of epidemic prevention policies in the future" at the same time.
Considering that the recent rebound of the epidemic situation across the country is relatively serious, the scope of the epidemic is relatively wide, and there are thousands of confirmed cases every day. Therefore, when the preparations are far from complete, we can only strictly prevent the epidemic, control the epidemic as soon as possible, and support the current epidemic prevention policy in the future. Loose preparations buy time.
Looking at this logic again, on March 14, Dr. Zhang Wenhong said in the article "The most difficult period in the two years of fighting the epidemic, whether it is a long winter night or a cold spring", "We must take advantage of the social clearing that will definitely come this time. In the rare opportunity period and window period brought about by zero, prepare a more complete, smart, and sustainable coping strategy." Provided oral medicines, affordable and widely available home testing reagents, effective training and rehearsal of hierarchical diagnosis and treatment strategies, future home isolation procedures, and complete prevention and control required when the next larger-scale import and local epidemics are superimposed system and the preparation of adequate medical resources, etc.”, we can find that the current strictness and future relaxation are not contradictory.
How long will China's current strict epidemic prevention policy last?
The most direct answer, of course, is the time it takes to complete the preparation.
Of course, changes in things and policy adjustments often have a process from quantitative change to qualitative change. Even if the current strict epidemic prevention policy will not change in the short term, some specific content and details will follow the epidemic situation and preparations. Progress changes.
Considering that the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China will be held this year, the importance of security and stability will be highlighted. Therefore, just in case, there is a high probability that the epidemic prevention policy will be stricter before the end of the 20th National Congress.
However, it should be reminded that strict epidemic prevention policies do not mean one-size-fits-all, layer-by-layer overweight and expanded epidemic prevention.
On March 17, the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee emphasized that "it is necessary to improve the level of scientific and precise prevention and control, and continuously optimize epidemic prevention and control measures." To achieve the greatest prevention and control effect and minimize the impact of the epidemic on economic and social development.”
The anti-humanity one-size-fits-all anti-epidemic measures that have appeared from time to time in many places across the country are really too much. It not only brings unnecessary negative impact on the normal development of the economy and society, but also damages China's epidemic prevention image.
Dr. Zhang Wenhong said that whatever is lasting must be moderate and sustainable.
Today, China should take advantage of the window period created by the current strict anti-epidemic policy, take precautions, and make sure to prepare for the loosening of the anti-epidemic policy in the future.
After all, China's development depends on its integration with the world and extensive exchanges and contacts, but the Chinese people's values and real national conditions have determined that China cannot and should not, like the West, cause a large number of people to die due to natural infection.
At a time when the toxicity of the new coronavirus has decreased significantly, herd immunity has generally been achieved in the West, and it is gradually returning to normal, and the side effects of strict epidemic prevention in the mainland are becoming more and more prominent. The path tests the wisdom and responsibility of the Chinese government and medical elites.