Who said election and did not get it?
All political interests after Silman's retirement
Although we thought the political tangle was over, this morning we came to know that it was only a temporary respite.
The political system has begun to count down the days of government, and the central question is not if, but when and how it will end its life.
Who prefers elections and who wants a government in this Knesset?
His dew
06/04/2022
Wednesday, 06 April 2022, 17:17 Updated: 17:38
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In the video: Benjamin Netanyahu congratulates Idit Silman on her retirement from the coalition (Photo: Nadav Elimelech / Knesset Channel and Likud Spokeswoman)
The political drama following the resignation of MK Idit Silman as chairman of the coalition is still in full swing: while Prime Minister Naftali Bennett in an effort to tighten the ranks in his party, the Likud and the opposition are looking to recruit more defectors and completely disintegrate the "right."
If Bennett manages to stop the drift and prevent other members of his faction from joining Silman, coalition officials estimate they will be able to calm the drama until the return of the Knesset from the spring recess, at least until May 10.
If not, she will continue to rave.
One way or another, the political system has begun to count down the days of government, and the main question floating in the air is not if, but how it will end its life: Will the 24th Knesset soon disperse to elections or will it be able to find 61 MKs to form a new government?
The third possibility - that this government will survive for a long time - seems almost impossible.
More on Walla!
MK Idit Silman resigns from the coalition; the government has no majority
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Mandate map (Photo: official website, Walla system!)
Between elections and the government, the current numerical situation in the Knesset embodies the wonders of the tangle, which we already thought was over but was actually only in a temporary lull.
The coalition, after Silman's retirement, has only 60 votes, which will not allow it to advance any significant law and especially not the next budget, which will deepen the stability of the government.
On the other hand, there is a divided opposition.
Netanyahu's bloc, which includes the Likud, the ultra-Orthodox and religious Zionism, now has 54 Knesset members, along with Silman and its predecessor Amichai Shikli, and together with the six Knesset members of the joint - they reach a draw of 60, which can paralyze any government move it wants to advance.
But members of the joint party have made it clear that they will not vote for a Netanyahu-led government, so the possibility of recruiting one more defector for 61 fingers in a constructive distrust that will replace the government seems slim.
For the Likud to form a government, it needs seven more Knesset members to join it - that is, only a mega-dramatic retirement from the coalition of an entire faction like Blue and White or a new hope to form a new government.
For example, if blue-and-white chairman Bnei Gantz tries to take advantage of the no man's land and negotiates again with the Likud and the ultra-Orthodox in which he will demand the new prime minister - it is not certain that Netanyahu, and the Likud in general, will agree to pay
. Silman has previously made it clear in interviews that he prefers an alternative government to an alternative government. Of Netanyahu and Levin in recent hours have focused on the right and the mobilization of only one more finger.The task of dispersing the Knesset is simply much less complicated.
Silman (Photo: Reuven Castro)
Not only in the Likud: the chairman also has a future Yair Lapid It is better for the Knesset to disperse to elections instead of the government falling into constructive distrust. To the transitional prime minister.
That is, he will serve for at least four to five months until after the election and until a new government is formed.
Although it is not the two and a half years he was promised in the original rotation, he will still become the 14th prime minister of the State of Israel, instead of the leader of the opposition, if the Likud succeeds in forming an alternative government.
He will also be able to hold office in a fateful political period, of an election campaign, and will gain tremendous control over the media and public agenda and an advantage over his friends and rivals in the center-left bloc.
Bennett, by the way, in such a situation, would not even serve as a minister.
But, and this is a big but, there are also elements, in the coalition and the opposition, who really, really, do not want elections.
At the forefront - members of a new hope, which according to the polls will not necessarily return from new elections, and also lacks electoral value for strategic connections and alliances.
Other parties in the coalition may also face internal opposition from Knesset members, especially those who entered following Norwegian law, who will fear losing Kassam in the Knesset.
In the case of a transitional government, Bennett will not even serve as a minister (Photo: Paul, Mark Israel Salem)
Torah Judaism is also in no hurry to support the election: Party chairman Moshe Gafni today called for a mental calculation and forming a government immediately without the need for an election. Shas, on the other hand, has an interest in the elections, because they will reopen the possibility of the return of the party's chairman, Aryeh Deri, to the Knesset, after he resigned as part of his plea deal at the end of last year. Elections: Smutrich's party has steadily strengthened in recent months in polls and benefited from public outrage against Bennett and his associates
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