The polls of voting intentions had anticipated it, it will be a remake of the duel of 2017. Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen will face each other in the second round of the presidential election, Sunday April 24.
Both were qualified at the end of the first round, this Sunday (28% of the votes for the current president, 23.2% for the candidate RN).
Favorite Macron?
According to a new Ipsos Sopra Steria estimate for Le Parisien, France Télévisions and Radio France, unveiled this Sunday evening, Emmanuel Macron obtains 54% of voting intentions in the second round, against 46% for Marine Le Pen.
Each time, the margin of error is plus or minus 2.9 points.
The candidate president begins these fifteen days of between-two-turns with an advantage over his competitor.
A narrowing gap.
In recent weeks, the gap between the two candidates in the event of a second-round duel has only narrowed.
It was 20 points at the end of March, for example.
The battle thus promises to be much tighter than five years ago.
Emmanuel Macron won it with 66% of the vote, against 34% for Marine Le Pen.
Secure electorates of their choice
.
94% of respondents who plan to vote Macron in the second round and 89% of those who say they want to vote Le Pen say they are sure of their choice and assure that it should not change.
What voice reports?
Among Marine Le Pen voters in the first round, 55% intend to vote for Le Pen again and 25% say they will opt for a Macron vote in the second round.
31% of voters for Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who came third in the first round but who did not give voting instructions, intend to abstain in two weeks.
56% of them intend to vote for Emmanuel Macron.
A photo at the moment T, not a prediction.
As always, one must be very careful when analyzing these figures.
These are a snapshot of the opinion at time T and can in no way be considered as a prediction of the final results.
Over the coming days, the expected rallies for the benefit of each of the two finalists, the unforeseen events inherent in any electoral campaign, as well as possible appeals to the "republican front" could, among other factors, change opinion.
Methodology: survey conducted online on a sample of more than 1,500 people interviewed via the Internet.
Quota method.
Source: Ipsos-Sopra Steria for Le Parisien-Aujourd'hui en France and Franceinfo.