The number of cars fell for the first time in Île-de-France in 2020, the result of the health crisis more than the gradual ban on the circulation of the most polluting vehicles, according to a study by the Atelier parisien d'urbanisme (Apur).
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“While the underlying trend in France is towards an increase in the number of registrations, a phenomenon of a drop in the number of registered vehicles has been taking place since 2018 in the Metropolis (of Greater Paris) and since 2019 in Île-de-France “,
writes this agency, mainly financed by the town hall of Paris, in a study on the evolution of the car fleet since 2012.
At the end of 2020, the first region of France, which has 5.4 million cars for 12 million inhabitants, recorded around 8,500 registrations of cars and light commercial vehicles less than in 2019, a decrease of less than 0.2% .
A declining trend since 2014
Since 2012, the Ile-de-France car fleet had increased by an average of 53,000 vehicles per year (+0.9%).
But this break only confirms a downward trend observed since 2014, with an increase in registrations which had fallen between 2017 (+70,747) and 2018 (+11,781).
The curve of the region seems to join that of Paris, which has lost an average of 3,400 vehicles, or 0.5% of its fleet, each year since 2012. A decrease which has accelerated intra muros with 6,000 fewer vehicles in 2019 and 2020 “
The decrease in the registered fleet”
observed at the metropolitan and regional level
“is a new phenomenon in France”,
underlines Apur for which
“the health crisis and the successive confinements have clearly slowed down the purchase of new vehicles”.
This reality hides
“variable trends according to the periods and according to the territories”,
notes however the Apur by citing sectors of Seine-Saint-Denis where the car park continues to increase, even if more weakly.
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In Paris, the reduction in the car fleet is
"a fundamental trend"
which, according to Apur, can be explained by the development of public transport, the rise of cycling, the creation of low-emission zones (ZFE) and the increase the cost of vehicles (consumption and parking in particular).
But
“for the moment, the effects of the ZFE-mobilités are not yet observed in a significant way on the registered fleet in the Ile-de-France”,
estimates Apur for whom the future stages of 2024 and 2030, synonymous with the end of diesel and thermal vehicles in the heart of the metropolis, should encourage individuals and businesses to anticipate vehicle conversions.
According to the study, the deadline of 2023 for cars classified Crit'Air 3, which will no longer be able to circulate in the heart of the metropolis, concerns nearly 574,000 cars, or 22% of the fleet.