Security tensions are expected to peak in the coming week, with no less than four sectors expected to challenge security forces: the Temple Mount, the Gaza Strip, Judea and Samaria and Israeli Arabs.
Although Gaza attracted most of the attention on Passover, the most complicated and explosive sector continues to be the Temple Mount.
In the past week, there has been an increase in Hamas' efforts and the northern faction of the Islamic Movement to stir up and activate groups of young people - Israeli Arabs and Palestinians living in East Jerusalem - in an attempt to provoke riots.
The activity is carried out mainly in networks, which make it possible to echo the false message page according to which the Temple Mount is in danger.
The police will continue to invest forces in securing the mountain, and in the Old City sector and in East Jerusalem.
The coming week is expected to be very stormy as large groups of Christians are expected to visit the Christian holy sites in the area, in parallel with the Muslim worshipers who will continue to visit the mountain.
The intention at the moment is not to restrict the ascent to the mountain to Muslims, however an increase in the extent of violence may lead to a change in policy.
On the other hand, Jewish visitors will not be allowed to reach the mountain until the end of Ramadan, a step that was also taken last year in an attempt to reduce friction in the sector.
In the last day, there have been efforts by Hamas in Hamas to stop launching the rockets.
The organization has made several arrests, and has sent messages to Israel - through Egypt and Qatar - that it is determined not to worsen the situation in the south.
Rioters on the Temple Mount, archive, photo: AFP
Despite this, Israel chose to take two strong measures, in response to two shootings on the eve of the holiday: preventing workers from entering Israel from Gaza (which means severe economic damage to the workers themselves and the Gaza economy), and an IDF-defined attack on an underground site. Hamas manufactured its rocket engines. The IDF marked this site a long time ago, and now took the opportunity to hit it.
Despite Hamas' efforts to prevent deterioration, it is not certain that Gaza will remain quiet.
There are quite a few other elements in the Gaza Strip who are interested in the mess - Islamic Jihad in particular.
In any case, any escalation on the Temple Mount, which Hamas encourages, immediately radiates to the situation in the south as well.
This is a dangerous game of fire that could get out of control, so the IDF will continue to maintain high alert and increased forces in the sector in the coming weeks.
Judea and Samaria remained quiet last week, which is why the volume of IDF offensive activity decreased. Today, approval is expected for the recruitment of six reserve battalions, which will soon replace the forces deployed in the seam area for more than a month. In order to finish on time.
The internal sector, of Israeli Arabs, also remained quiet, but the defense establishment still warns that it is very explosive.
Here, too, the main concern is from the impact of the events on the Temple Mount.
As in the other sectors, an effort is invested in informing and spreading lies on the networks - with partial success.
Ramadan will end next Monday evening, but tensions and high alertness are expected to continue at least until after Independence Day, in about two weeks.
Until then, each of these four sectors - and also the political sector - will be very explosive, and will require special effort and attention, in an attempt to neutralize mines and put out fires in a timely manner.
In recent days this has been done successfully while drawing lessons from last year’s events.
While synchronizing between the political and security echelons and the various security arms.
And yet, in the face of the multitude of factors trying to set the area on fire, it seems that the main challenge is still ahead of us.
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