The Limited Times

Now you can see non-English news...

Election in Schleswig-Holstein: do the projections confirm the clear trend?

2022-05-08T04:25:42.291Z


Election in Schleswig-Holstein: do the projections confirm the clear trend? Created: 05/08/2022, 06:18 By: Marcus Giebel In Schleswig-Holstein, three politicians are hoping for the office of prime minister. Even before election day, a clear favorite emerges. We provide forecasts and projections. Schleswig-Holstein is electing its 20th state parliament this Sunday (8 May). So far, a three-party


Election in Schleswig-Holstein: do the projections confirm the clear trend?

Created: 05/08/2022, 06:18

By: Marcus Giebel

In Schleswig-Holstein, three politicians are hoping for the office of prime minister.

Even before election day, a clear favorite emerges.

We provide forecasts and projections.

  • Schleswig-Holstein is electing its 20th state parliament this Sunday (8 May).

  • So far, a three-party alliance of the CDU, Greens and FDP has ruled.

  • We will keep you up to date on our forecast and projections in our ticker.

Munich - Does Jamaica have a future in the far north?

That will be decided this Sunday (May 8th) in Schleswig-Holstein.

Since 2017, the CDU, FDP and Greens have governed together in a very rare constellation.

They form the first cabinet of Prime Minister Daniel Günther, who is standing for re-election this year.

This time the Christian Democrat is up against Thomas Losse-Müller from the SPD and Monika Heinold from the Greens.

The latter is finance minister and at the same time Günther's deputy.

The 20th state parliament of the northernmost federal state will consist of at least 69 deputies, the number can still increase due to overhang and equalization mandates.

In a good mood during the election campaign: Daniel Günther (right) and Thomas Losse-Müller are all beaming.

© Marcus Brandt/dpa

Election in Schleswig-Holstein: Forecast is expected for 6 p.m. – then projections will follow

2.3 million people are called upon to cast their votes in the second state election of the year.

The first forecast can be expected at 6 p.m. on election night when the bars close.

The extrapolations will then follow at intervals, the first of which will probably already be at 6.30 p.m.

Most recently, the trend was clearly pointing in the direction of black.

That's why it could be enough for a two-party alliance this year.

There are even indications of a fairly stable majority for black-green, for black-yellow - last tested in Peter Harry Carstensen's second term of office - it could just be enough.

So Günther, who was recently struggling with a corona infection, might not have to rely on a continuation of the Jamaica coalition.

Forecasts for the election in Schleswig-Holstein: Greens apparently close to the SPD

According to the polls, the CDU can get 36 to 38 percent, while the SPD apparently ends up at 20 percent.

That would be another bitter loss for the Chancellor's party.

16 to 17 percent are indicated for the Greens, the FDP will very likely remain in the single digits.

In contrast to the left, the AfD seems to be able to get into the state parliament.

The South Schleswig Voters' Association (SSW), which represents the Danish minority and is exempt from the five percent hurdle, can hope for five percent.

Anything but a second term for Günther would be a big surprise - it would be the first CDU election victory at state level since Saxony-Anhalt last June.

At that time, Reiner Haseloff got 37.1 percent and thus kept the AfD at a clear distance.

Even in the event of a direct election, Günther would have the best chance of continuing to govern in Schleswig-Holstein.

In March and April surveys by Infratest dimap and the Wahlen research group had passed the 60 percent mark, but now it had to be content with 49 percent at INSA.

Losse-Müller, who has always remained in the single digits, came to 13 percent there.

But that could also be related to the fact that Heinold was not explicitly listed as a candidate this time.

The Greens had previously stood regularly in front of their SPD colleagues, but never got more than twelve percent approval.

It's good to laugh: Prime Minister Daniel Günther (left) watches challenger Thomas Losse-Müller being prepared for the Triell.

© Axel Heimken/afp

Election in Schleswig-Holstein: The result from 2017 at a glance

CDU

SPD

Green

FDP

AfD

left

SSW

Other

32

27.3

12.9

11.5

5.9

3.8

3.3

3.5

A look at the result from 2017 shows that the coalition parties, apart from the FDP, are apparently doing even better with the voters.

The big loser, on the other hand, seems to be the SPD again, whose top candidate Torsten Albig was voted out of office five years ago.

Hardly any major shifts are to be expected among the smaller parties.

(mg)

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2022-05-08

You may like

News/Politics 2024-02-09T12:24:14.699Z
News/Politics 2024-02-26T15:33:22.738Z
News/Politics 2024-01-30T12:09:03.637Z

Trends 24h

News/Politics 2024-03-28T06:04:53.137Z

Latest

© Communities 2019 - Privacy

The information on this site is from external sources that are not under our control.
The inclusion of any links does not necessarily imply a recommendation or endorse the views expressed within them.