Election in Schleswig-Holstein 2022: The first figures show the CDU in the front – the Greens overtake the SPD
Created: 05/08/2022, 18:14
By: Cindy Boden, Fabian Müller
On May 8th, a new state parliament will be elected in Schleswig-Holstein.
Around 2.3 million people are entitled to vote.
Here is an overview of the results of the election.
On May 8, voters in
Schleswig-Holstein
are called upon
to elect a
new state parliament in Kiel .
The polling stations close at 6 p.m., after which the ballot papers are
counted
for a result .
Multiple
coalitions
could come into question when the result is announced.
This
news ticker on the results of the state elections in Schleswig-Holstein
is continuously updated.
Update from May 8th, 6 p.m.:
The first forecast by the Elections research group for the state elections in Schleswig-Holstein is here.
Accordingly, the CDU can look forward to a big victory with 41 percent.
The SPD, on the other hand, has to put up with big losses with only 16 percent and is overtaken by the Greens with 19.5 percent.
While the FDP is at 7 percent, the AfD misses out on entering the state parliament with 4.5 percent.
The SSW reaches 6 percent.
CDU | SPD | Green | FDP | AfD | SSW | Other | |
Forecast 6 p.m | 41 percent | 16 percent | 19.5 percent | 7 percent | 4.5 percent | 6 percent | 6 percent |
Update from May 8, 5:15 p.m.:
In less than an hour, at 6 p.m., the forecast for the state elections in Schleswig-Holstein is expected.
This is followed by further projections over the course of the evening.
These then give an initial indication of which coalition will govern in Kiel over the next five years.
Does the traffic light alliance continue or is the CDU even satisfied with just one junior partner?
The first answers will be given later in the evening.
Results of the election in Schleswig-Holstein: turnout lower than in 2017
Update from May 8th, 2.50 p.m .:
According to the state election authority in Schleswig-Holstein, the turnout at 2 p.m. is lower again than five years ago: According to the website, it is now 36.8 percent.
At that time it was already 42.5 percent.
Results of the election in Schleswig-Holstein: Again a Jamaican coalition in the north?
Update from May 8, 1:43 p.m .:
CDU and FDP spoke out in favor of a rerun of the Jamaica coalition before the state elections in Schleswig-Holstein, while the Greens and SSW did not commit themselves.
According to surveys, however, it would be enough for a two-party coalition between the CDU and the Greens, and possibly also with the FDP.
During the election campaign, SPD top candidate Losse-Müller expressed hope for an alliance with the Greens and SSW or with the Greens and the FDP.
Results of the Schleswig-Holstein election live: two-vote system and exception SSW
Update from May 8, 11:45 a.m .:
The two-vote system applies to the state elections in Schleswig-Holstein.
The 35 mandates from the constituencies are awarded with the first vote.
Whoever gets the most votes there is elected.
The second vote is for the state list of a party, which adds a regular 34 mandates.
If a party receives more direct mandates in the constituencies than it would be entitled to based on second votes, it retains these multiple seats.
The other parties receive compensation mandates according to their share.
The five percent hurdle applies.
However, as a party of the Danish minority, the South Schleswig Voters' Association (SSW) is exempt from the five percent clause.
Signposts for voting in the 2022 state elections in Schleswig-Holstein are on the grounds of the Hebbel School in Kiel.
© Frank Molter/dpa
Update from May 8, 10:15 a.m .:
Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s SPD is now threatened with defeat in the Schleswig-Holstein election after its victories in the federal elections and most recently in Saarland.
The CDU, on the other hand, is looking to Kiel with hope after its last election failure.
The result could be clear.
Party leader Friedrich Merz can currently use a success, also with a view to the important state elections in North Rhine-Westphalia in a week.
If Günther stays at the helm on the Förde, his weight in the Union should continue to grow.
State elections in Schleswig-Holstein: when will there be a result?
First registration:
Kiel – On May 8th, elections will take place in Schleswig-Holstein.
Prime Minister Daniel Günther is currently still leading a Jamaica coalition made up of the CDU, Greens and FDP.
In 2017, the CDU won the state elections in Schleswig-Holstein from the opposition with a lead of a little more than five percentage points over the SPD, which had previously governed with the Greens and the South Schleswig Voters' Association (SSW) in Kiel.
The Greens as well as the FDP, AfD and SSW came into the state parliament with a considerable gap to the two leading parties.
The left failed at the five percent hurdle.
The AfD entered the parliament in Kiel with the strength of a faction, but lost this status due to divisions.
Schleswig-Holstein election 2022: The results of 2017
Political party | result |
|---|---|
CDU | 32.0 percent |
SPD | 27.3 percent |
Green | 12.9 percent |
FDP | 11.5 percent |
AfD | 5.9 percent |
The left | 3.8 percent |
SSW | 3.3 percent |
Other | 3.5 percent |
Election results from Schleswig-Holstein 2022: Günther's CDU leads polls - clear outcome expected
In 2022, the CDU is entering the race with Prime Minister Günther as the top candidate, the SPD wants to convince the voters with the former head of the Kiel State Chancellery, Thomas Losse-Müller.
The Greens appear with a dual leadership of State Finance Minister Monika Heinold and State Parliament Vice President Aminata Touré, the FDP with their State Minister of Economics Bernd Buchholz.
The SSW relies on parliamentary group leader Lars Harms, the AfD election campaign is led by the member of parliament Jörg Nobis.
The most recent polls before the state elections in Schleswig-Holstein unanimously point to a clear victory for the CDU.
In the surveys, the party comes to 36 to 38 percent.
The SPD was 19 to 20 percent, so it only achieved around half the votes of the CDU.
The Greens reach 16 to 17 percent, the FDP comes to seven to nine percent.
Schleswig-Holstein's Prime Minister Daniel Günther is "really up for the final sprint of the election campaign".
© Frank Molter/dpa
Results of the Schleswig-Holstein state election 2022: First forecast expected at 6 p.m
The AfD is in the polls at five to six percent, the SSW, which as a minority party is already exempt from the five percent hurdle, comes to five percent.
The left would miss the entry into the state parliament again.
The survey also shows a high level of satisfaction with the work of the state government and with Prime Minister Günther.
A first forecast can be expected in Schleswig-Holstein at 6 p.m. on May 8th.
Analysts expect that continuity will continue to prevail in Kiel.
According to the polls, the mandate to form a government clearly rests with Günther and the CDU.
The Christian Democrats could even continue to govern with just one partner, unlike in 2017.
An alliance of CDU and Greens would have a secure majority.
According to a survey, it could possibly also be enough for a two-party alliance with the FDP.
A coalition of the CDU and SPD would also be mathematically possible, but that is considered an unlikely option.
According to the polls, a government led by the SPD would only be possible if the Social Democrats, from the position of the clearly inferior second strongest force, forged a four-way alliance with the Greens, FDP and SSW.
That only seems conceivable in theory.
(
AFP/fmu
)