A new Knesset session has opened in Israel, but the smell of elections is in the air.
This may make it difficult for us to notice the fragrance coming from Lebanon - where they will go to the polls this coming Sunday.
You should take a breath and take a look at what is happening at our neighbors.
Lebanon has entered the general election campaign, which may change the situation and indirectly affect us.
The main effort is being made by Hezbollah opponents to expropriate from his hands and his partners the majority he has in the House of Representatives, and to change the balance of power.
For the second time in its history, Lebanon allows Lebanese living outside the country to vote.
Residents of Arab countries and Iran have already voted, now voting begins in the rest of the world.
Elections will be held in Lebanon on May 15.
Elections outside Lebanon are of double importance: the high voter turnout and Hezbollah's inability to influence them remotely.
It is estimated that most of the votes will go to Hezbollah opponents.
Inside Lebanon, a camp was formed that includes the Lebanese forces and the Christian, Pharisee, and Sunni phalanxes.
Outside Lebanon - USA, France and Saudi Arabia joined the mission. Saudi Arabia is the living spirit: it holds meetings with influential political forces, financially supports and convinces the camp of Hariri, the former Lebanese prime minister, to allow his people to vote, even though he announced his group's retirement from political life .
Hezbollah has already complained about Saudi activity, but Riyadh does not seem impressed and is determined to move forward at full steam.
France and the United States have instructed their two embassies to assist the Saudi ambassador to Lebanon. Of the president, lost his political power, and many Christians abandoned him.This is direct damage to Hezbollah.
There is also criticism of Nasrallah within the Shiite community against the background of the severe economic crisis, as well as the popular uprising in 2019, which did not solve any problem.
Most of the Lebanese people are crying out for change.
They see, for example, the demarcation of the maritime border with Israel and the production of gas from the sea, an opportunity for large financial revenues that will improve their economic situation.
They see Hezbollah as the one who is delaying this.
Hezbollah, in its distress, refrained from disrupting the election process to the point of canceling it, and from demonstrating street bullying so as not to further blacken its image.
He also does not want his arms issue to be the sole issue in the election campaign.
On the face of it, the anti-Hezbollah camp seems to be leading.
But in Lebanon, as in Lebanon, there is nothing closed and secure, and on Saturday the camps's efforts range from Saudi-American-French optimism to Hezbollah's belief that it will be able to maintain a majority.
After the election there will be two hurdles to cross: one - forming a government;
And the second - the election of a new president.
The issue of demarcating the maritime border is important to Israel.
If the desired change does not occur, Israel may produce gas and not wait for the Lebanese to solve their problems.
With all the optimism of Hezbollah's opponents about change, it seems that Lebanon is entering a crisis that will paralyze its political life, for a long time.
Were we wrong?
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