The UN warns: there is a significant chance that we will pass the global warming threshold in the next five years

By 2015, scientists said there was zero chance of exceeding the 1.5-degree Celsius threshold above industrial breach levels, over the next five years.

Now the chance of the world warming by more than 1.5 degrees has been updated to 50% in 2022-2026

News agencies

11/05/2022

Wednesday, 11 May 2022, 16:43 Updated: 16:55

• Share on Facebook

• Share on WhatsApp

• Share on Twitter

• Share on Email

• Share on general

• Comments

  Comments

There is a 50% chance that we will pass the critical threshold of global warming - 1.5 degrees Celsius - in the next five years, according to a new study.

According to the annual update of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), the chances of the Earth exceeding the temperature set as the global warming threshold are significantly increased.

By 2015, scientists said there was zero chance of exceeding the 1.5-degree Celsius threshold above industrial breach levels, over the next five years.

The chance of the world warming by more than 1.5 degrees was updated to 10% in 2017-2021, before being raised to 50% in 2022-2026.

More on Walla!

The Complete Guide to Endoscopic Rhinoplasty

In collaboration with zap doctors

In the video: Extreme weather around the world in 2020 (Photo: Reuters)

The new report was released shortly after the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warned that the fight to prevent global warming beyond 1.5 degrees has reached a "now or never" stage.

Panel scientists have reiterated calls for a significant reduction in the use of fossil fuels to cool global warming - which now stands at 1.1 degrees Celsius above industrial breach levels.

"The 1.5-degree figure is not a random statistic," said WMO Secretary-General Petri Talas. 2015. The

figure is perceived as a critical global target because beyond it, certain turning points become more likely.A turning point in the climate system is a critical threshold that with deviation leads to large and often irreversible changes in the state of the system.

Heat wave in India, July 14, 2016 (Photo: AP)

Thalas warned that global temperatures will continue to climb as long as humanity continues to emit greenhouse gases.

"And in addition, our oceans will continue to warm up and become more acidic, glaciers will continue to melt, sea levels will continue to rise and the weather will become more extreme," he said.

The Annual Forecast uses forecasting systems from international climate centers to produce practical information for legislators.

Polar bear in Alaska waters in the United States, 2008 (Photo: Reuters)

The study shows that at least one year between 2022 and 2026 will probably be the warmest ever, replacing 2016 which was ranked so when the natural phenomenon El Nino caused a rise in temperatures.

The study further states that there is a 93% chance that the average of the five years in 2022-2026 will be higher than the average of the last five years.

• news

• World news

Tags

• global warming

• Earth

• Climate change

• climate