State elections in NRW: First projections and forecasts from Sunday
Created: 05/14/2022, 19:58
By: Magdalena Furthauer
In NRW, a head-to-head race is likely in the state elections on Sunday.
© IMAGO/Malte Ossowski/SVEN SIMON
In North Rhine-Westphalia, a new state parliament will be elected on Sunday, May 15, 2022.
The first projections and forecasts are eagerly awaited.
State elections in North Rhine-Westphalia: On May 15, 2022, people are asked to go to the polls.
Official results will be available from Sunday, but a survey sees the CDU just ahead.
This
news ticker with the projections and forecasts for the state elections in NRW 202
2 is constantly updated.
Düsseldorf - On Sunday, May 15th, the state elections in North Rhine-Westphalia will take place.
Around 13.2 million people are allowed to cast their votes, whether in advance by postal vote or directly on site with the ballot paper at the ballot box.
The first official extrapolation of the outcome of the election is expected around 6.30 p.m. on Sunday.
The first forecasts based on representative surveys, on the other hand, could come in during the course of the day.
Projections and prognosis for the state elections in North Rhine-Westphalia: the survey sees the CDU ahead of the SPD
It is still unclear how things will continue in the state that Armin Laschet has ruled for years from Sunday.
However, polls indicate a head-to-head race between the CDU's top candidate Hendrik Wüst and his opponent Thomas Kutschaty (SPD).
In a survey by the Insa Institute, the CDU is even predicted to have a slight lead.
According to this, she should get 32 percent of the votes on Sunday, while the SPD gets 28 percent.
Such a result would be somewhat better for the CDU than previous polls had led us to believe.
Political party | CDU | SPD | FDP | Green | AfD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll Results 2022 | 32 percent | 28 percent | 8 percent | 16 percent | 7 percent |
State election 2017 | 33 percent | 31.2 percent | 12.6 percent | 6.4 percent | 7.4 percent |
Top candidate 2022 | Hendrik Wust | Thomas Kuchaty | Joachim Stamp | Mona Neubauer | Martin Vincentz |
The approval values of the other parties and candidates in North Rhine-Westphalia remain unchanged in this Insa survey: The Greens should therefore come in third place with 16 percent, the FDP comes to eight percent, the AfD to seven.
The left would fail with three percent at the five percent hurdle.
Video: What you need to know about the state elections in NRW 2022
State elections in North Rhine-Westphalia: projections and forecasts on Sunday
It is still unclear which party will nominate the future prime minister.
According to the survey, however, the current black-yellow government coalition would no longer have a majority.
The first forecasts on Sunday should provide information about this.
Incidentally, a prognosis is a post-election survey that is then applied to all eligible voters according to statistical characteristics.
An extrapolation, on the other hand, refers to the first results from individual constituencies and can therefore only be prepared after the elections have closed.
The result of the state elections in North Rhine-Westphalia can therefore be eagerly awaited.
The last rallies of the top candidates on Friday, including in Cologne, Bonn and Düsseldorf, marked the end of the election campaign.
They were supported by the nationwide leaders of their parties.
(mef/afp/dpa)