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War in Ukraine: will wheat production increase only in Russia this year?

2022-05-18T15:32:53.247Z


THE CHEKING PROCESS. The president of the FNSEA, Christiane Lambert, warned of the expected decline in wheat harvests in France and the United States. Are his fears justified?


THE QUESTION

.

This is one of the great collateral damages of war: soaring food prices which jeopardize food security in the least developed countries.

And for good reason, Ukraine and Russia are two heavyweights in world agriculture with the grain basket of the Black Sea.

They represent 30% of world wheat production.

Ukraine is also a major player in sunflowers.

The conflict has undermined harvest prospects in Ukraine, due to logistical problems, blocked ports, and the glaring lack of labor, while favorable weather should ensure a good season in Russia.

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Read alsoEurope helps Ukrainian wheat bypass Russian blockade

This Saturday, on Europe 1, the president of the National Federation of Farmers' Unions (FNSEA), Christiane Lambert, underlined the different dynamics between Russia and the other major producers.

In Russia, “

there will be 87 million tons this year, it has never happened,

said the farmer.

Russia will be able to export more wheat and will be able to decide to whom it exports

.

Conversely, she worried, harvests will be down “

in France, the United States and South America”.

In question, the lack of water which has been raging for several weeks and weighs on the yield potential.

Are these fears justified?

While the harvests are not expected for two months in Europe, has the president gone too far in seeking to alert the public authorities to the difficulties ahead for French farmers?

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Source: lefigaro

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