Lula is regaining ground in the voting intentions for the October presidential election in Brazil, which he could win in the first round against the current far-right president, Jair Bolsonaro, according to a poll published Thursday, May 26.
According to the Datafolha institute, 48% of Brazilians would vote for former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, against 27% for Bolsonaro.
Read alsoBrazil: Lula goes on campaign against Bolsonaro
Lula thus widened the gap, with a 21-point lead in the first round over his opponent.
A previous poll by this benchmark institute, published on March 24, gave him a 17-point lead over Jair Bolsonaro.
However, the two surveys are not fully comparable, with the March one providing scenarios with other candidates, some of whom have since withdrawn.
At the end of April, a PoderData poll, on the other hand, gave Jair Bolsonarao only five points (36%) behind Lula (41%).
According to Thursday's poll, the former left-wing president (2003 to 2010) would win even in the first round, with 54% of the vote against 30% for Bolsonaro, if only valid votes are taken into account, without ballots. blank or zero.
In the event of a second round, the 76-year-old Workers' Party leader would beat Jair Bolsonaro, 67, by 25 points (58% against 33%), three points more than in March.
This survey is the first carried out without the candidacies of the former anti-corruption judge Sergio Moro, former Minister of Justice of the Bolsonaro government, and the former center-right governor of Sao Paulo Joao Doria, holding a "
third lane
" and who have withdrawn from the race.
In third position comes the center-left candidate Ciro Gomes (7%), senator Simone Tebet being credited with fifth place with 2% of the vote, tied with the centrist André Janones.
This poll shows that "
the lack of improvement in the economy
" can create a "
trend favorable to Lula
", Creomar de Souza, an analyst, told AFP.
In addition, Jair Bolsonaro has more difficulty than Lula in speaking to voters who are not part of his supporters, according to him.
This survey was carried out among 2,556 people between Wednesday and Thursday in 181 cities, with a margin of error of +/- 2 points.
