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SPD is catching up, Greens remain stable – FDP now big traffic light loser? Survey provides partial explanation

2022-05-30T03:20:26.123Z


SPD is catching up, Greens remain stable – FDP now big traffic light loser? Survey provides partial explanation Created: 05/30/2022, 05:10 By: Andreas Schmid Quo vadis, FDP? The Free Democrats around party leader Christian Lindner are doing poorly in the polls. © Olivier Matthys/picture alliance Unpleasant weeks for the FDP: After three disappointing state elections, the Liberals slipped below


SPD is catching up, Greens remain stable – FDP now big traffic light loser?

Survey provides partial explanation

Created: 05/30/2022, 05:10

By: Andreas Schmid

Quo vadis, FDP?

The Free Democrats around party leader Christian Lindner are doing poorly in the polls.

© Olivier Matthys/picture alliance

Unpleasant weeks for the FDP: After three disappointing state elections, the Liberals slipped below ten percent on Sunday.

The CDU ranks first.

Berlin - "The CDU is back in first place among the German parties." That said CDU party leader Friedrich Merz after winning the state elections in North Rhine-Westphalia in mid-May.

The national trend continues to prove Merz right.

In the current Sunday question of the opinion research institute Insa, the Union is at the top.

In the survey commissioned by the

Bild newspaper

, the CDU and CSU came to 27 percent, one percentage point less than in the previous week.

The chancellor party SPD follows in second place with 23 percent.

The Social Democrats seem to be able to stop the recent downward trend, including the chancellor's scolding - they are up two percentage points compared to the institute's previous survey.

The Greens follow in third place with an unchanged 19 percent.

Poll gossip for FDP: Lindner party slips below 10 percent in the federal government

The loser of the current survey is the FDP.

Like the AfD, it slips below the ten percent mark and ends up at 9 percent.

The survey hits the traffic light party in a phase in which things are not exactly looking rosy for them anyway.

In Saarland, the Free Democrats - like the Greens - have been kicked out of the state parliament.

In Schleswig-Holstein and North Rhine-Westphalia they have almost halved their result.

The result: the FDP is likely to slip out of government in Düsseldorf.

Instead of a Jamaica coalition (CDU, Greens, FDP), it will probably be black-green in the north as well as in North Rhine-Westphalia, where the previous government of CDU and FDP no longer has a majority.

Exploratory talks are currently underway.

In North Rhine-Westphalia, the Greens voted on Sunday (May 29) for concrete coalition talks.

Notes on the survey

The opinion research institute Insa interviewed 1,337 people on behalf of

Bild am Sonntag

between May 23 and 27, 2022.

The maximum error tolerance is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

According to Insa, the question was: "If there were federal elections next Sunday, how would you choose?"

FDP: Why are the Liberals slipping in polls?

What is the reason for the crash of the FDP?

At the state level, there were apparently reasons for the election results, such as education policy in North Rhine-Westphalia, which was sometimes perceived as misguided, or a certain "corona resentment".

And in the union?

Here the interviewees now find the FDP apparently too invisible.

41 percent of the survey participants were of the opinion that the Greens set the tone in the federal government.

28 percent see the SPD around Chancellor Olaf Scholz in this role.

For only eleven percent, the FDP sets the pace.

In their own party, too, a relative majority of supporters believe that the Greens in particular will have the upper hand.

41 percent are of this opinion, but at least 30 percent of the FDP supporters believe that the liberals themselves have the most to say in the traffic light coalition.

Actually, in the first days of the Scholz government, it looked as if the FDP in particular could make a name for itself.

For example, the party enforced its veto on tax increases or a speed limit.

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At the moment, however, the Free Democrats seem to be having a hard time making a profit from their work in the federal government.

A possible consolation for the FDP: election polls are generally always fraught with uncertainties.

In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not a forecast of the outcome of the election.

The next election in Germany will not take place until October: Lower Saxony will then elect a new state parliament.

(as)

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2022-05-30

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