In an Ifop-Fiducial poll published on Tuesday, the head of government, also a candidate in the sixth constituency of Calvados, would be elected with a fairly large margin in advance.
Already in the first round, Elisabeth Borne would total nearly 39% of the vote.
Facing her, the pretender of the Nupes Noé Gauchard would manage to obtain 26% of the votes.
Finally, the representative of RN Jean-Philippe Roy would collect 15% of the vote.
The other aspirants to the deputation, well below 10%, would have no chance of reaching the second round, for which it is necessary to gather at least 12.5% of the registered voters.
To discover
Legislative elections in your municipality: history, figures, candidates and results
Polls, analyses, reports... Follow the legislative campaign with the Figaro application
Read alsoÉlisabeth Borne sets up her government for the long term
Good news for the Prime Minister: she would win all her duels in the second round, regardless of her opponent.
In the event of a confrontation with the candidate from the left, Elisabeth Borne would have a seat at the Palais Bourbon with 58% of the vote.
In the event of a match with the RN candidate, the head of government would widen her lead with 65% of the vote.
Five years ago, the second round saw the contender LREM Alain Tourret and Jean-Philippe Roy compete.
The walker had obtained 68.34% of the vote against 31.66% for the representative of the RN.
For Ifop, "
given the balance of power observed in the first round
", an LREM-RN duel "
seems unlikely at this stage
".
Read alsoMacron and the legislative elections: “A strange climate”
In total, fifteen ministers, including the first of them, have embarked on the battle for the legislative elections.
With a rule: the members of the government who will be beaten will have to leave their functions.
And some are campaigning in hotly contested territories.
Like Damien Abad, Minister of Solidarity, Autonomy and People with Disabilities in the 5th district of Ain or Amélie de Montchalin, Minister of Ecological Transition, in the 6th district of Essonne.