Colombia will decide between Petro and Hernández: the summary of the elections 5:36
(CNN Spanish) --
The countdown to the second round of the presidential elections in Colombia continues and almost two weeks before the definition, on Sunday the 19th, Gustavo Petro and Rodolfo Hernández, have taken advantage of each other, for a few , very few percentage points in the intention to vote.
A week after the first round that decided the options from six to only two candidates, two polls, those of Guarumo-EcoAnalítica and GAD3, give Hernández a few points advantage over Petro.
But other pollsters, such as those of the National Consulting Center and YanHass, put Petro with a smaller advantage over Hernández.
The key there is the margin of error, as well as the blank vote.
This is what the polls say.
GAD3 Survey
The Spanish pollster debuts with a so-called "presidential tracking" in which it conducted this survey for the so-called Great Media Alliance made up of RCN Radio, Noticias RCN, La Fm and the newspaper La República, among other media.
According to this, the intention to vote until June 1 is as follows:
Rodolfo Hernández — 52.3%
(in the previous measurement after the first round, it was 52.5%)
Gustavo Petro — 45.1%
(in the previous measurement after the first round, it was 44.5%).
advertising
The blank vote in this poll is 2.6% and the margin of error is +2.4%.
Fact sheet:
3,755 online interviews with cell phone users between May 30 and June 1, 2022.
Publication date:
June 2, 2022
Guarumo and EcoAnalytics
The survey carried out for the newspaper El Tiempo gives a technical tie between Petro and Hernández, as follows:
Rodolfo Hernández —
46.1% of the intention to vote.
Gustavo Petro —
43.3% of the intention to vote.
Margin of error:
2.5%.
Technical sheet:
The Guarumo SAS and EcoAnalítica Measurement and Economic Concepts SAS survey was conducted between June 1 and 4 and included 1,958 interviews.
Publication date:
June 5, 2022.
Yanhass
In this survey contracted by the RCN media chain, it was as follows:
Gustavo Petro —
42%
Rodolfo Hernández —
41%
Blank Vote —
13%
NS/NR — 5%
Technical Sheet:
1,234 face-to-face interviews in 60 municipalities between May 30 and June 3.
Margin of error
: 3.2%.
Publication date:
June 5, 2022.
National Consulting Center
A survey by the National Consulting Center for the Colombian media outlet CM& gives a technical tie in voting intention between the presidential candidates Gustavo Petro and Rodolfo Hernández, who went to the second round this Sunday.
Rodolfo Hernández — 41%
in voting intention
Gustavo Petro — 39%
in voting intention.
Blank vote: 5%
Does not know does not answer: 14%.
1% of those surveyed would not vote for any, according to the results.
Technical file:
1,200 telephone interviews in homes in 43 municipalities in Colombia between May 30 and 31.
Margin of error:
2.8% and 95% confidence.
Publication date:
June 1, 2022.
Petro and Hernández, under the magnifying glass for complaints and accusations 2:49
According to this latest survey, and if Sunday's electoral patterns are followed, Hernández would be stronger than Petro in regions such as the Coffee Region and Antioquia, (54% vs. 26%);
the center-east of the country (51% vs. 23%) and the center-south of the country (46% vs. 34%).
Petro, on the other hand, would have an advantage over Hernández in Bogotá (49% vs. 39%);
in the Caribbean region (48% vs. 33%) and in the Colombian Pacific (57% vs. 23%).
In demographic data of the survey, the inhabitants of higher strata would vote more for Rodolfo Hernández than for Gustavo Petro (52% vs. 40%), while those of the middle stratum would prefer Petro.
Among the low-stratum respondents there is a technical tie: 40% Hernández vs.
39% Petro).
The left-wing candidate led in the first round with just over 8.5 million votes, equivalent to 40.32%.
Hernández, who calls himself an 'outsider' and gained strength in the last weeks before the elections, obtained 5.9 million votes, 28.15%, beating better-known candidates such as Federico Gutiérrez and Sergio Fajardo.
MEET THE CANDIDATES:
Gustavo Petro
Rodolfo Hernandez
Colombian Elections