Elections to the French Parliament: It all depends on the majority that President Macron will receive

The incumbent president is expected to win a majority of seats in the National Assembly, but it is unclear whether this will be an absolute majority or not - which will force him to cooperate with other parties and jeopardize his agenda.

Reuters

19/06/2022

Sunday, 19 June 2022, 11:42 Updated: 11:50

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France goes to the polls today (Sunday) in the second round of parliamentary elections, which may change the face of French politics.

Polling stations open at 9 a.m. Israel time - initial forecasts are expected at 9 p.m.

According to the polls, President Emanuel Macron's camp will rake in most of the seats in the National Assembly, but is not sure he will get 289 votes - a continuum required to hold an absolute majority.

Polls predict that the far right will record the biggest success in parliamentary elections in decades, and the Left and Greens may be the opposite of the main opposition group.

Conservatives may find themselves in the role of determinants.

Need an absolute majority.

President Emanuel Macron (Photo: Reuters, Reuters)

If Macron's camp does not receive an absolute majority, a period of uncertainty will begin when the solution may be a division of power between parties that have not been heard of in France for decades - or a stalemate and further parliamentary elections.

Macron, who wants to raise the retirement age and advance his pro-business agenda with greater integration into the EU, won a second term in April.

After the presidential election, voters usually use the parliamentary election a few weeks later to give it a safe majority.

President Francois Mitterrand was extraordinary in 1988.

If Macron and his camp lose the absolute majority in a few seats, they may be tempted to steal right-of-center MPs or conservatives, according to officials.

The far-left candidate, Jean-Luc Melenchon (Photo: Reuters)

If the loss is greater, they may seek an alliance with the Conservatives or form a minority government that will have to negotiate each and every law with the other parties.

No poll has shown that the left-wing alliance led by far-left candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon will receive an absolute majority - a scenario that will lead to an atmosphere of uncertainty in the second-largest economy in the eurozone.

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