Scenario Shaul Mofaz, who entered at the last minute in May 2012, minutes before the decisive vote on the dissolution of the Knesset and prevented the overthrow of the government, is still hovering in the air in the space of the Mishkan.
Many are Knesset members who will not return to serve in the next Knesset and have no interest in not trying to form an alternative government in the current Knesset.
The chances of that are small - but there are.
However, assuming that the Knesset is finally dispersed next week, the political system is expected to go into a spin in the coming months.
Quite a few of the parties have changed their face and will go through internal, as well as external, procedures in preparation for the formation of the new lists for the next Knesset.
According to the Likud constitution, within a month after the dissolution of the Knesset, primaries will be held for the party leadership, followed by the composition of the list for the Knesset.
For now, the only one who has announced that he will face Benjamin Netanyahu is Yuli Edelstein.
The composition of the list for the Knesset is not expected to change much and it is estimated that an absolute majority of the current Knesset members will return to the next Knesset, assuming that the Likud retains the 35-36 seats that the polls give it.
To the extent that the Likud Center approves for Netanyahu the three armor it approved for him the previous time, Edith Silman and Amichai Shekli are expected to man them with high certainty, if his legal situation allows it.
Netanyahu in the Likud faction.
Only Edelstein declared that he would run against him, Photo: Oren Ben Hakon
Other parties in which primaries are required are Labor and Meretz.
In addition to determining the lists, an attempt will be made to unite the parties into one list of candidates.
At the moment, the one who is pushing in this direction is the Meretz party, headed by Nitzan Horowitz.
The chairman of the Labor Party, Meirav Michaeli, is much less interested in this. It is estimated that the following polls will determine the final decision on the matter.
The person who will head the left-wing camp is Yair Lapid.
He is expected to reach the status of camp leader when he is the acting prime minister.
During the election campaign, Lapid is expected to meet with US President Joe Biden and other leaders who may help him establish his status.
The big question is what will Naftali Bennett do.
The message he conveyed yesterday is that he is also running ahead for the next Knesset, but even for him it will probably be the polls that will decide.
In recent days, contacts have already begun between the right and new hope for the unification of the parties, but nothing has closed and quite a few difficulties have arisen in the process, especially in light of the fact that there is no special trust or closeness between these party leaders.
Blue and white in its previous incarnation.
Is union possible ?, Photo: Gideon Markowitz
Blue and white will probably run alone this time as well.
The chairman of the party, Bnei Gantz, remained the defense minister even during the transitional government.
Mansour Abbas will be faced with the choice of whether to continue the process in which he began, of a separate run and a desire to join the coalition, or to go for sure and reunite again with the joint list.
Right now the direction is to continue a separate run.
There are quite a few transformations and dramas in the ultra-Orthodox factions, which are not certain to end up with the same familiar list.
Moshe Gafni wanted to lower the blocking percentage so that he could compete alone within the framework of Degel HaTorah, without Agudat Yisrael, but the move will probably not succeed.
The dissolution of the Knesset will give the signal for internal battles in the Ashkenazi ultra-Orthodox party and intense power struggles, with Gafni demanding that the "flag" increase the power of the Lithuanian party in the united list, compared to the followers who stand on their hind legs not to do so.
MK Moshe Gafni (right) and Aryeh Deri. The blocking percentage probably did not decrease, Photo: Dudi Vaknin
Another open question is the Jewish Home Party, which is not represented in the current Knesset but may seek to run again, all against the background of the strengthening of the Religious Zionist Party, and especially the strengthening of the chairman of Jewish Power, Itamar Ben Gvir. Leakage of votes between the ultra-Orthodox parties, especially Shas, and Jewish power.
Were we wrong?
Fixed!
If you found an error in the article, we'll be happy for you to share it with us