Modiin estimates: Terrorist organizations will exploit the transitional government to set boundaries
In the face of political sensitivity, the defense establishment warns that Hezbollah, Hamas and Islamic Jihad may unleash restraint, and even take military action against Israel - something they have so far avoided.
They also said that Iran could take advantage of the situation and avenge the assassinations.
Security source: "It's not worth messing with us - even now"
Amir Bohbot
27/06/2022
Monday, 27 June 2022, 21:27 Updated: Thursday, 30 June 2022, 21:29
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Documentation: Shooting at pro-Palestinian demonstrators and Hezbollah operatives on the Lebanese border (Photo: Al-Manar)
Senior intelligence sources warned last week that amid the political upheaval in Israel and the natural sensitivity surrounding a transitional government, Israel's enemies in the various arenas will take advantage of the situation, and begin to provoke and bring friction to borders, including military actions that have so far been avoided.
Intelligence sources also estimated that Hezbollah could heat up the border in the face of the conflict over the naval border and the activities attributed to the Syrian Air Force against arms shipments, which are intended for the Shiite organization, and have so far refrained from commenting on it.
In some scenarios, Hamas may also unleash the Islamic Jihad, which would very much like to take military action against Israel, and has so far been restrained for various reasons.
And of course, most of all, the Iranians who seek revenge for the elimination of senior figures attributed to the Israeli institution.
They will take advantage of the political sensitivity in Israel.
Lebanese border (Photo: Amir Bohbot)
Intelligence sources estimate that Israel's enemies think the Transitional Government will be reluctant to enter into a direct confrontation or days of battle in response to friction within the borders or terrorist acts in the home front.
Therefore, security officials said in closed-door talks that the IDF is preparing responses to all the scenarios and statements.
Meanwhile, the chief of staff's warnings about the IDF's capabilities, which have been built in recent years with an emphasis on the northern arena, are not conducted in a vacuum and are the result of information emerging from the field.
At the same time, defense officials estimate that ahead of US President Joe Biden's visit to Israel, it is very possible that Lebanon and Israel, mediated by the United States, will reach an agreement on the maritime border line within two weeks.
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