The left denies the end of the cycle

Pedro Sánchez, during the NATO Summit in Madrid. Eduardo Parra - Europa Press (Europa Press)

In seats and in votes.

The PP has been living for weeks boosted in an index of political self-esteem that it did not remember.

His position is that of the winner over the PSOE in parliamentary acts and in electoral votes.

This is the moment that portrays 40dB.

in its barometer for the month of July for EL PAÍS and Cadena SER, according to which the right is close to an absolute majority.

Without the need for great efforts in discourse and projects, the PP grows, stops the rapid rise that Vox had, keeps most of the electorate that was from Ciudadanos and captures voters who opted for the PSOE in the previous elections.

The demographic study coincides with the fears and burdens of the Government, although it is believed capable of reversing the situation.

The instruments of economic policy and social protection will be its assets.

The international recognition of the solidity of Spain's Atlantic link, after the NATO summit in Madrid last week, only underlines the geostrategic importance of the country.

But not everything is congratulations or advantages for the Government.

He does not excite, but rather frightens potential socialist voters, the reborn world division between blocs.

The verification that the aggressor is the president of Russia, Vladimir Putin, by attacking Ukraine with the worst uses in the war, with massacres of the civilian population, does not, however, lead to the fervor for the increase in defense resources.

The deaths on the Moroccan border with Melilla also do not help progressive sectors point to the PSOE as a force to support with the vote.

Around 20% of voters who are placed on the left declare themselves abstentionists,

Nothing to do with the citizens of the field of the right, very mobilized.

It is not surprising that in the PP's arguments the permanent mention that Pedro Sánchez is inevitably approaching the end of the cycle stands out.

In less than a year, the socialist candidates will have to face regional and municipal campaigns with the PP's loudspeaker saying that voting for the PSOE is supporting Pedro Sánchez.

It will seem good to many, but the team of the new leader of the right, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, thinks of the disenchanted left.

The four regional presidents who have gone to elections in times of pandemic have repeated.

This dynamic can also accompany the bloc of 12 elections to be held in May;

seven socialists.

How much national politics will influence those elections is not measurable at this time when the left is mired in demobilization.

The economic measures to alleviate the consequences of the war in Ukraine do not make a dent in the citizens, according to what stands out in the demoscopic work cited.

There is no self-deception in the Government when it recognizes, according to the interlocutors consulted, that it is not easy to delude when measures are taken, always scarce, to cover holes or alleviate precarious situations.

United We Can not do better alone either, although it will be seen in the coming weeks what impact the presentation this coming Friday of the

space of the second vice president and Minister of Labor, Yolanda Díaz, produces.

Her objective difficulties in expanding spaces are increased by the disagreements with the socialist part of the Government and with the leaders of United We Can.

In recent days there has been a certain calm in this last field and somewhat less with the Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez.

The tragic episode of the immigrants and the governmental explanations, with emphasis on the migratory pressure that Morocco suffers, complicate the support of United We Can to the Government and to Díaz;

for them and for their potential voters.

Even so, Díaz will be heard on Friday inspiring encouragement to those hopeless with the left.

Sánchez has already begun to do so, on his side, as he pointed out in his Sunday interview with EL PAÍS, when he proclaimed that the progressives are not going to give up;

and he was included.

The PP, meanwhile, will continue with the end-of-cycle speech.

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