So we are told that this is "another" election campaign.
That everything is "stuck" politically and that it is impossible to get out of the tangle, and in general, what could be different this time?
But the truth is the opposite.
There have been dramatic political changes this year, which will affect the upcoming elections and their results.
First, the political position of the Arab parties.
Since the founding of non-Zionist (and later anti-Zionist) Arab parties, they have never taken part in the coalition.
The Rabin government, of which one of the most significant memories is the reliance on the votes of Arab Knesset members, after Shas' resignation from the government, at the time of the approval of the Oslo II agreements, did not form such a coalition. MK Darawsha, who retired from the party, and the communist Hadash at the time was not exactly a Palestinian nationalist party.
And yet, the move has come under criticism.
And yes, when in the 2019 election on Monday Gantz and the Quartet of Blue and White Leaders considered forming a minority government with the external support of the joint list, this was quickly dropped from the chapter.
In the outgoing government, however, a full political partnership was formed for the first time with the PM and with the joint. .He now holds a fixed addition of 15-10 seats, which will take part in any of his future coalitions.
Second, a right-wing event eliminated the naive image of Libra parties.
There has never been a party that has marked itself as an extremist party on one side of the political map, and after the election has fully moved to the other side.
Although we have already seen acts of vanity in which such parties have led to the overthrow of right-wing governments, because of a messianic insistence on seemingly more right-wing principles, but a right-wing party that helps form the government of the opposite left bloc, and still heads it?
This ideological and political crisis, in many ways, henceforth weakens the status of parties claiming to be Libra, exposing the shame of "non-disqualifying" parties - these are, after all, parties that serve only one side.
In the last four times, they have taken seats from right-wing voters and transferred them to the left-wing bloc (Yisrael Beiteinu, right and new hope).
Therefore, in the upcoming elections any such "unidentified" party, old, new or renewed, will have a hard time reproducing the trick and deceiving voters again.
All this leads to the third and final point: the formation of a distinctly bipolar election campaign.
In the last four election campaigns, support for left-wing parties has been small.
From 45 seats on Sunday in the 2019 elections to 38 seats in the outgoing Knesset.
But even though the left weakened from time to time, it managed to produce a new political conjuncture that eventually led Lapid to the post of prime minister.
That is, the ideological vote for the left has shrunk - but the bloc has grown.
absurd.
The Israeli political system, despite its multiplicity of parties, has for the first time become bipolar, polar and dichotomous.
This is not a value proposition for or against unity, nor is it a purely political claim.
This is a mathematical fact.
There are no more Libra parties, and each party belongs to only one of the blocs.
Each side has only one option to sum the seats to the desired number: 61. Each seat that is deducted from one bloc will automatically move to another.
In this new structure, the choice is between a right-wing government led by Netanyahu with the Likud, religious Zionism and the ultra-Orthodox parties and a left-wing government led by Lapid Am Yesh Atid and a host of parties between the right and Meretz, RAAM and the joint one. We're getting into a zero-sum game, and as such, it's going to end in a draw.
Were we wrong?
Fixed!
If you found an error in the article, we would love for you to share it with us
