In the middle of summer, the prices of electricity sold for next winter on the French wholesale market are breaking all records.
At more than 800 euros per megawatt hour, they are more than ten times higher than the prices of previous years.
This unprecedented level means at first glance that buyers and sellers expect that, this winter, France could run out of electricity one day out of three - or 30 days per quarter -, calculated the energy regulation commission (CRE) .
Admittedly, market forecasts are considered excessive by CRE.
“Even pessimistic scenarios on the availability of the nuclear fleet and on a cold winter do not lead to such a high number of hours of reaching the price ceiling as anticipated by market prices
, she estimated. last week.
They reflect either expectations of a severe shortage, or a high risk premium on the French electricity market, and probably the combination of the two.
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