Many Hong Kong people are no strangers to Nancy Pelosi (also translated as Pelosi, Pelosi or Polosi) who is currently in the eye of the storm of public opinion. Yes, she is the speaker of the US House of Representatives, and she is also the speaker of the Hong Kong amendment bill. The black riots that took place during the period were described by well-known politicians as "a beautiful landscape".
During the turmoil in Hong Kong's amendment to the bill, Tsai Ing-wen and the DPP led by him kept shouting a slogan-"Hong Kong today, Taiwan tomorrow", both to express support for radical protesters in Hong Kong and to resist Beijing. The proposed "one country, two systems" plan for Taiwan has further agitated Taiwan's public opinion and sought Taiwan's independence.
If "Hong Kong today, Taiwan tomorrow" was just an imagination and tool at the time, then after Pelosi made a rash visit to Taiwan in disregard of the opposition of all parties, "Hong Kong today, Taiwan tomorrow" will move from imagination to reality.
On August 3, 2019, a protester marched with an American flag during the turmoil over Hong Kong's amendment to the law.
(Reuters)
It is often said that in order for God to perish, he must first make him mad.
For a long time after the outbreak of the Hong Kong amendment bill, radical demonstrators and even underworld forces were really crazy. They stormed the Legislative Council, burned the national flag, painted the national emblem, set fire, blocked traffic, lynched strangers, and smashed shops. , homemade weapons, beating dissidents... In the face of such crazy actions, the central government has never stopped violence and chaos, and has not rashly dispatched the People's Liberation Army in response to the voices of public opinion at that time. After that, the Hong Kong National Security Law was introduced from the perspective of governing Hong Kong by law, and the electoral system was revised.
After the promulgation of the National Security Law, the crazy perpetrators of the past either went into exile in other countries or went to jail. Since then, Hong Kong has entered a stage of transition from chaos to governance, from governance to prosperity.
The same madness is being played out in Taiwan today.
On the evening of August 2, Pelosi landed at Taiwan's Songshan Airport amid the huge controversy and attention. That night, Taipei 101 lit up Taiwan's public opinion with the words "Thank you, friend of democracy," "firmly support Taiwan," and "The friendship between the United States and Taiwan will last forever." solid".
As the most senior U.S. official to visit Taiwan after Newt Gingrich in 1997, Pelosi's activities in Taiwan are quite intensive and high-profile, including a visit to the Jingmei Human Rights Cultural Park, and a meeting with the June 4 student activist Wu'er Kai. Xi, Li Mingzhe, an NGO worker who was sentenced in the mainland, and Lin Wingji, the former owner of the Causeway Bay Bookstore in Hong Kong, met with others.
In the meeting with Tsai Ing-wen, Pelosi was also awarded the Special Grand Shouqingyun Medal, and was praised by Tsai Ing-wen as "Taiwan's most steadfast friend".
In return, Pelosi immediately said, "The delegation must make it clear to the outside world that the United States will never renege on its commitment to Taiwan."
In the face of Pelosi's high-profile visit to Taiwan, mainland public opinion is not satisfied with the strong condemnation and joint military action afterwards, because in the opinion of many people, as long as Pelosi lands in Taiwan, Beijing will lose. At least it should be escorted, intercepted, or shot down directly to unify Taiwan.
It is understandable that the mainland people are eager to reunify Taiwan, but the real politics is much more complicated, and starting a war is not a child's play. It's unification, not war with America.
After Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, Beijing immediately launched a multi-level counterattack, including military measures, cutting off economic and trade, and interrupting institutional exchanges. The measures taken are far more severe than in 1996.
These measures may not be as relieved and happy as the public opinion field expects, but they are beneficial in the long run.
The PLA's eastern theater has organized joint combat-oriented exercises in the sea and airspace around Taiwan Island.
(WeChat Public Account@Eastern Theater)
As early as 40 years ago, Deng Xiaoping expressed China's principled position on developing Sino-US relations when he met with Stevens, the deputy leader of the Republican Party of the United States, and Chen Xiangmei, the vice chairman of the US President's Export Council.
Deng Xiaoping said, "If the U.S. government adopts a hard-line policy toward the Soviet Union, an issue like Taiwan can be swallowed by China. If it cannot be swallowed, it will not be swallowed. If this happens, the Taiwan issue will force Sino-U.S. relations to go backwards. China will not swallow it. China will definitely respond accordingly. We say that the stagnation of Sino-US relations is not good, and it is even worse to go backwards, but if something happens to force our relationship to go backwards, we can only face the reality. As for the degree of retrogression, it depends on the force that led to the retrogression. It is not good to say too much, but it should be clear that if China-US relations need to go backwards on the Taiwan issue, China can only face the reality. China will not swallow the Taiwan issue out of an anti-Soviet strategy, as some people in the United States say, this is impossible.”
Today, China's economic and military strength is not at the level of 40 years ago. Will it swallow the bitter fruit of Pelosi's blatant provocation?
It will not be swallowed. China will definitely respond accordingly. In fact, it is already responding, and the response will not be limited to the few days of Pelosi's visit, but will start from the long-term strategic dimension of reunifying Taiwan. To formulate countermeasures, including normalized flying over the center line of the strait, further strengthening the substantial presence of the CCP’s military forces in Taiwan, etc.
In a word, the status quo in the Taiwan Strait has been broken by Pelosi, and Beijing has a lot to do next.
In this regard, Cui Tiankai, the former Chinese ambassador to the United States, gave a speech at the "2021 International Situation and China's Diplomacy Seminar" at the end of last year, which is worthy of reference in today's situation.
Cui Tiankai said, "China must have a clear mind and be fully prepared to deal with the twists and turns, turbulence, and even a roller coaster ride in Sino-US relations in the future." Since the purpose of the struggle is to safeguard the interests of the people and the overall strategic situation, we should do everything possible to reduce the cost and impact of our interests and the overall situation during the struggle. In principle, we should not fight unprepared. We will never let anyone plunder, nor will it be because of our own carelessness, laziness and incompetence. , causing it to suffer losses.”
On March 17, 2021, Cui Tiankai, then Chinese ambassador to the United States, gave a joint interview to Xinhua News Agency and other Chinese media in Anchorage, Alaska, United States.
(Xinhua News Agency)
Since China's reform and opening up, the development achievements it has achieved are hard-won and must be cherished.
Coupled with the impact of the new crown pneumonia epidemic, the downward pressure on the economy this year is obvious, and problems and contradictions at all levels of society are also emerging.
Can China today afford the cost of a war?
It is advisable to keep an eye on the scenery, make a decision and then move.
For Taiwan, which has already turned to the United States, Hong Kong may be used as a teaching assistant to re-evaluate the phrase "Hong Kong today, Taiwan tomorrow", and Ukraine, which is still in the war, may be used as an example to reinterpret Perspectives. Losey's lucrative promises.
Or, just turn on your phone or TV and see how badly Pelosi's trip is being criticized in the West and what a disaster this unnecessary crisis could lead to for Taiwan. .
Pelosi's visit to Taiwan | Talking about why countermeasures against Taiwan are not right from the perspective of "fighting the Jiang ship not the US ship" Zhang Zhikun: Military operations against Taiwan can be carried out step by step | Experts say that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan The huge challenge to Taiwan has just begun. Pelosi has already played his trump card. Next, we will see how China plays the card.
