Nancy Pelosi proved her manliness and visited Taiwan, violating the policy of her country for many years to maintain the level of political, economic and international relations between the two countries.
Pelosi did not have an agenda in Taipei, and all she announced did not go beyond talking about her country's "commitments to Taiwan," and the most prominent description of the visit was what the Chinese foreign minister said as "a vulgar comedy."
Pelosi's visit will not change the reality of the Chinese position on Taiwan, but it will certainly affect the Sino-US relations and increase the escalation in the relations of the two countries and at the international level.
The failure of the administration of US President Joe Biden to advise Pelosi to abandon the visit to Taipei and only say that she can visit any country she wants is evidence of prior coordination between the administration and the US House of Representatives on the visit, the limits of the Speaker's statements, the time required to spend in Taipei, and possible responses to China.
Pelosi's visit to Taipei cannot be considered a personal decision that has no importance in the general context of the relations of the two countries, but rather as a test of the pulse of China on the extent of its cooperation with the United States on international issues, especially with regard to the Ukrainian crisis and what Washington calls the Chinese threat to the American presence in the Pacific and Southeast Asia .
The Chinese response to the visit has taken an upward curve and in all directions, and its climax will not stop when the Chinese army carries out the largest military maneuvers in the vicinity of Taiwan, according to Chinese statements and positions that went beyond the issue of the visit to differences between the two countries over the American presence in China’s vital ocean and Washington’s attempts to create a military and security crisis in the sea Southern China.
The American preparations to escalate the situation with Beijing did not start with Pelosi’s visit at all, but rather it was prepared for a long time, and the announcement of the American-British-Australian alliance (Ocos) was a milestone in these preparations. Pelosi’s visit came to add a new sign with important indicators that the Biden administration worked on Its delivery to Beijing, including the preparation within the corridors of the House of Representatives, to bring about a sharp turn in US-Chinese relations in the event that Beijing does not respond to US demands and pressures.
There is no doubt that the Chinese leadership is closely monitoring all American political, economic and military moves, and it will not fall into the American trap and respond to Washington’s demands to stop cooperating with the Russian Federation, realizing that NATO, which is dominated by the United States, will move directly to the threat of China in the event of victory On Russia in the indirect war in Ukraine.
The US statements on China's punitive measures in response to Pelosi's visit carry many indications of the escalatory direction of US policy in the subsequent months, which is likely to lead to an indirect military conflict between Washington and Beijing in Taiwan, similar to the ongoing conflict between NATO and the Russian Federation in Ukraine.
The talk of many American newspapers about the possibilities of confrontation with China after Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, the available options, and Washington’s priorities reflects what is going on in the corridors of American decision-making. The “American left and right” to stop questioning it confirms that this file is on fire, but this does not mean that this war will be in the near future or conventional.
In Washington, they do not disagree about the option of war to maintain America’s hegemony. Rather, the dispute revolves around who the war will be first with China or with the Russian Federation, and there are those who say that American decision-makers deceive the American people because “their country does not have the luxury to choose to confront one evil over the other.”
The repercussions of Pelosi's visit to Taiwan are taking their dimensions in both countries, and there is no indication yet that its effects on inter-relationships can be absorbed, and this is due to Beijing's conviction that Washington plans to go beyond that, which is to tear up the "one China" policy.