Many people always feel that it is barbaric and uncivilized to use guns and money to compete between countries, but it is a familiar method to understand the "international order" with military and wealth as the strength.
The reality is very cruel.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the US’s invasion of Iraq both relied on guns and guns. The West used its wealth to impose sanctions on Russia and used money to finance Ukraine’s wars without any effort. This is the true face of the international order.
In recent years, the role of the right to speak in the international game has increased significantly, adding a layer of fog to the examination of the "international order". The Russian-Ukrainian war brought into play all three forces.
Of course, money does not mean military power. Many Middle Eastern countries are rich, but they are lame in military affairs and can only spend money on protection.
Having a strong military force does not mean that you have the right to speak. Russia and Turkey are both examples. They only know how to fight, but their mouths are not very useful. They cannot speak rationally at critical times.
In the Ukraine war, Russia was militarily tough, but always achieved its goals, and Western economic sanctions hurt it, but not so much as to have devastating consequences.
However, in the war of public opinion, Russia suffered a heavy blow.
The right to speak is a must in the game of great powers
Why is the United States a superpower?
Because cannons, dollars, and media have all three, this is what Joseph Nye calls hard power and soft power.
China used to have no military advantage, was very poor, and even lacked the right to speak, and its national dignity was completely trampled on by Western powers.
After the founding of New China, with courage, perseverance and wisdom, even if its military strength was weak, it won awe in the Korean War.
Reform and opening up have made China richer, and its military power has also increased, making it even better geopolitically.
Regarding the right to speak, although the CCP attaches great importance to the "pen", it always lives under the roof of others in international public opinion, and is not used to the logic of Western discourse. Few people can understand what it is saying, and can only temporarily avoid its edge. .
Keeping a low profile and keeping a low profile is a strategy that emphasizes "circumvention".
The CCP had long anticipated that the situation would be short-lived. No one wanted to share a meal with a rising China, and tensions would inevitably follow.
Judging from the ongoing Taiwan Strait crisis, there is not much time and space for China to continue detours.
When Xi Jinping said that the history of Chinese people being "starved" and "beaten" is over, and now there is only the issue of "scolding", which means fighting for the right to speak in international affairs.
The United States and Western society have long monopolized the discourse system of international relations interpretation. If China wants to break the predicament, it must dare to face the challenge.
(Reuters)
Compared with military and economic strength, it is more difficult to have the right to speak.
The discourse system in which the United States and the Western society have long monopolized the interpretation of international relations, whether it is Reuters, CNN or BBC, or various international relations theories, are the exclusive sphere of influence of the West. To break the predicament, we must dare to face challenges.
Since international politics is already like this, China can only seek breakthroughs from here.
The United States, together with certain Western countries, equates the tension in the Taiwan Strait with the conflict in Ukraine, in an attempt to obscure the fact of China's sovereignty over Taiwan and the "One China" principle, and use public opinion to restrict China's strategic freedom in the Taiwan Strait.
China has enough military and wealth to have the skills to defuse this constraint.
The vast majority of countries in the world have severed diplomatic relations with Taiwan, accepting the "one China" principle, and have little economic ties with Taiwan; on the contrary, China is the largest trading partner of more than 120 countries, a fact that makes the United States uneasy. Easy to fool.
However, in order to more thoroughly overcome the discourse trap set by the other side, China needs to respond more accurately, and it must have both the real and the real, and make clever use of the role of military and economics.
Especially for the United States and Japan, they each have their own plans. They are not sincerely defending Taiwan and are afraid of direct conflict with China, but they must be prepared to play with public opinion.
The "one China" principle is very convincing
Taiwan used to be a colony of Japan, but the Japanese people are reluctant to make Japanese militarism a subject of international public opinion because Taiwan is fighting against China again, and they are even more reluctant to have a war in Japan.
The escalation of the conflict between China and Japan will threaten the unity within the Liberal Democratic Party and affect its ruling position. Designing public opinion for Japanese society and business circles, and exposing the harm of the right-wing to international public opinion is the theme of China's offensive and defensive against Japan, and it is also from the very beginning. To snatch the path pointed by public opinion.
During the Cold War, especially during the Korean War, the United States used Taiwan to contain China, maintained a military presence in Taiwan, and continued to sell weapons. This is to implement a policy of containment against China through Taiwan.
Once there is a possibility of war between China and the United States, public opinion in the United States will inevitably boil over, and the business community will also have reservations.
Explaining the history of China's civil war to Americans and reminding them of the lessons of the US military in the Korean War or the Vietnam War is not worth making unnecessary sacrifices for Taiwan independence.
National reunification is China's historical mission. "One China" is also an arrangement widely accepted by the international community. The DPP has become the target of the CCP's armed attack because of its advocacy of Taiwan independence. , these are the story lines for China to communicate with the world and strive for understanding.
Of course, China requires everyone to respect the "One China" policy, but such a principled statement is not easy to spread in a complex international environment, and its connotations are likely to be ignored. The CCP cannot repeat the mistake of Russia losing its right to speak in the Ukraine war. .
Today's China already has the confidence to explain the "one China". After this round of Sino-US confrontation, more people will be willing to learn more about it. The CCP should not waste its time.
Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is to provoke China. The PLA's military action is not only to deter Taiwan's independence, but also to make a gesture to the United States and Japan, but also to prepare public opinion for the whole world.
As a superpower, it is incomprehensible that China has been divided for a long time. China's territorial claims have not changed since the founding of the People's Republic of China, and it is also the political basis for China to establish diplomatic relations with all countries. Now it is logical to complete the reunification.
Everyone knows that the US and Japan are using Taiwan to contain China, and this strategy is difficult to gain support.
Comparing these two facts can defuse the traditional advantages of the United States in the field of public opinion, and can also restrain the United States and Japan from taking military and economic risks.
The "One China" principle is the political foundation for China to establish diplomatic relations with all countries. After this round of Sino-US confrontation, more people will be willing to learn more about it.
(Xinhua News Agency)
Judging from the development in the past few days, China's focus on Pelosi's provocation and the United Nations Resolution 2758 has found a foothold in public opinion, making it difficult for the United States and Japan to use the theme to openly confront China.
Due to the lack of justification, the United States and Japan lack the soil to launch a public opinion war. For the time being, it is not clear that they can reverse the situation of the CCP's control.
The Chinese People's Liberation Army expanded its military exercises to the Yellow Sea and the Bohai Sea to consolidate its deterrence against Japan, and it is even preparing for the subsequent US deployment of an aircraft carrier battle group into the Taiwan Strait.
The United States and Japan are not expected to risk escalating the situation other than to continue their clamor after the fact.
The CCP should continue to highlight its old problem of bullying the good and fearing the evil, boldly exposing its conspiracy in the field of public opinion, and consolidating the impression that most countries have long ago, and that the United States will only give up in a similar situation.
The PLA's military operations around Taiwan are clearly more severe than the 1996 missile crisis, but the U.S. military's response has been different.
Compared with the two aircraft carrier battle groups in the Taiwan Strait, the North and South entrances and exits were tightly pinched in the Taiwan Strait. Today's US military is more "docile". In order to prevent the situation from heating up, it canceled the originally planned missile test.
Emotions still appear manageable, reflecting a new balance between Chinese and American military power.
From the perspective of the war in Ukraine, the strength of the opponent is still the only criterion for whether the US military will intervene in the war.
Since the US military is not facing small countries in the Middle East or North Africa, US politicians will not be too reckless.
However, Russia has entered Ukraine without public opinion, making itself passive. Most people will not judge whether its "special military operation" is reasonable from the perspective of NATO's eastward expansion and threatening Russia's security.
Although China has full legitimacy and rationality on the Taiwan issue, it should not be underestimated to prepare a convincing argument before a military conflict, and to effectively disseminate it.
International opinion is still firmly in the hands of the United States and its allies, and careful planning is required to fight this battle well.
Removing the curse of "scolding" through the actual combat of public opinion
China already has an important geopolitical role in international relations, but the international community is still dubious about China's strategic strength.
In the political game of a certain period, prudence is necessary, but it is impossible to be timid.
In fact, China and the United States are reconstructing the international pattern. How can such a major international event be carried out quietly?
Experience tells us that the facts may have changed, but most people realize it in hindsight, and always wake up after some major event.
In the past decade or so, the role of economic and public opinion forces in international relations has been continuously highlighted. They have long become the cloak of the "international order", and continue to conceal the fact that strategic strength is the main body.
Through the combination of economic sanctions and public opinion manipulation, the United States has won a lot of advantages in achieving strategic goals in some regions. However, in the face of powerful opponents, the casualties of the U.S. military are no longer in line with the national conditions of the United States. The rest of the American politicians can only fight with words.
In recent years, the Sino-US trade war and the recent economic sanctions against Russia have not achieved good results, indicating that economic wars are not useful to everyone, which makes the United States more dependent on public opinion wars when dealing with the game of major powers.
China must keep pace with the times. After making great progress in the comparison of strategic and economic strength, it is time to gradually get rid of the predicament of "scolding" through actual combat of public opinion, and completely lift the curse locked on the head.
