Outside the haze of the Taiwan Strait, Biden is entering a miraculous "return to the light"?

The FBI raids Donald Trump's "Winter White House" Mar-a-Lago, the largest climate bill in U.S. history is about to pass, the first statewide referendum after the abortion case was repealed, and the liberals won surprisingly well, and the $280 billion "chip bill" Passed with bipartisan support, the first legislation to protect the right to same-sex marriage is expected to pass the border, and fuel prices continue to fall... It is less than three months before the mid-term elections in November this year, when the situation in the Taiwan Strait continues to be tense, and after six months of dismal public sentiment, On the other side of the Pacific, waves of good news for Joe Biden and the Democrats are coming.

On August 8, the FBI suddenly executed a search warrant against Trump's Mar-a-Lago, Florida

, allegedly related to Trump's violation of the Presidential Records Act of 1978.

Although the law does not contain specific criminal penalties, knowingly and illegally possessing or destroying government records is a federal criminal offense.

At the same time, Trump is also facing investigations into various cases related to congressional riots, fraudulent donations from supporters, and attempted election fraud. It cannot be ruled out that the search will turn up more evidence.

Even if it is difficult to prosecute Trump, just like the live broadcast of congressional riot hearings, Trump's potential crimes have been exposed to the public for a long time. Continued threats to U.S. democracy favor Democratic elections.

The media waited outside Haihu Villa after dark.

(AP)

On August 7, the so-called "Inflation Reduction Act" (Inflation Reduction Act) passed the Senate with half of the 50 Democratic senators returning, and is expected to pass the Democratic-controlled House of Representatives in this book, and then hand it over to the Senate. Biden signed into law.

It will spend more than $360 billion over the next decade on policies to encourage electric vehicles and green energy, and will reduce U.S. greenhouse gas emissions from 2005 levels by 2030. 30% trajectory, up to a 40% reduction.

Although this level is still some distance away from the 50% target of the Biden administration, it has reversed the disappointment of the liberal party to Biden and has also "handed over a little homework" for the United States on global climate policy.

The bill also allows Medicare to negotiate drug prices with pharmacists, capping patient payments to $2,000 a year.

This will help the United States reverse its high and ineffective health care spending and save the federal government $288 billion over a decade.

Moreover, the final version of the bill also implements a minimum corporate tax of 15%, allocates funds to strengthen the crackdown on tax avoidance, and imposes a special 1% sales tax on stock buybacks.

Overall, it would add more than $700 billion to the federal government, which, in addition to spending on climate policy, would fund Obamacare and reduce the deficit by as much as $300 billion.

Raising taxes on giant corporations, reducing healthcare spending, and tackling climate change are not just the goals of Democrats, but Republican voters also tend to support them.

On August 2, Kansas, a deep-red state and with Trump leading by nearly 15 percentage points in 2020, held a statewide referendum to "repeal the state's constitutional guarantee of abortion rights" for the

.

In the referendum, the language of the referendum was complicated and difficult to understand, and the referendum date was deliberately chosen under the primary election day when Democrats rarely attended. In the end

nearly 60% of the voters opposed the amendment of the constitution and supported the protection of women's abortion rights. The annual average is nearly twice as high.

Many commentators who thought that the abolition of federal abortion rights would be difficult to arouse the enthusiasm of voters also turned to the page.

The results bode well for Democrats in the midterm elections on abortion rights.

Abortion rights supporters in Kansas celebrate the referendum result.

(AP)

, which was passed with bipartisan support from both houses of Congress as early as the end of July

, is expected to be signed into law by Biden this week.

The total value of the bill is 280 billion US dollars, of which more than 50 billion US dollars are used to enhance domestic wafer production capacity, related research and human training, and the rest are generally used for various fields of research and development projects, from the National Science Foundation (NSF) . Basic science, regional science and technology hubs of the Ministry of Commerce, key advanced technology research of the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), various programs of the United States General Administration of Pacific Ocean (NASA), and new energy research projects of the Department of Energy. Not included.

Although the general American people may not care about this, such industrial policy-style legislation has greatly boosted the confidence of China hawks, the chip manufacturing industry and the American scientific community in the federal government's ability to act.

, after 47 Republicans defected against the backdrop of the conservative Supreme Court's potential threat to the "unwritten rights" in the Constitution.

(Respect for Marriage Act)

In the Senate, Tammy Baldwin, the first openly lesbian congressman in the United States and friendly with members of all factions, is in charge of wooing Republicans to support the law.

With support from some deep red Republicans in the House of Representatives, the law is expected to pass the Senate in September, a rare legislative achievement for a Democratic administration on a human rights program.

Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, and later the People's Liberation Army-Taiwan naval exercise, has faded from English-language media headlines.

The picture shows that on August 4, 2022, Pelosi's special plane arrived at Yokota Air Force Base in Japan.

(AP)

Although the U.S. inflation rate is still high,

.

In the context of the global economic downturn and the gradual increase in oil supply, if this trend can be maintained, the public's perception of Biden's economic governance may improve before the mid-term elections.

In fact, all of the above positive news for Democrats has been reflected in the polls.

According to the statistics of FiveThirtyEight, a comprehensive polling data agency, in the congressional polls of the Democratic and Republican parties, entering August, the Democratic Party began to reverse the situation of being overtaken by the Republican Party in the previous six months, and began to tie with the Republican Party and even surpass it forward.

After experiencing a low in mid-July, Biden's popularity also rebounded by two percentage points to a level of 39.6% by August 8.

And Trump's extremist candidates who won the Republican primary could lose support from moderate voters by November, leaving them behind their Democratic opponents.

However, after Pelosi's visit to Taiwan and the People's Liberation Army-Taiwan Navy's "supremacy", it remains to be seen whether Biden can resume the deployment of domestic political performance propaganda.

Moreover, the voting orientation of the American people seems to be based on the intuitive feeling of politicians rather than the performance of governance.

But in any case, the Biden administration at the moment does have some signs of "returning to the light".

If the Democratic Party can resist the offensive of Trump's Republican candidates in the mid-term elections, it will help the traditional Republican faction to suppress the rise of extremists and help the United States avoid another crisis in the democratic system.

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