Over time, the front line moves less and less in Ukraine.
In the great battle of Donbass in the East, the Russians, who seized the entire oblast (region, editor's note) of Lugansk, are struggling to conquer the territories of that of Donetsk still controlled by the Ukrainians.
The few hundred square kilometers taken by the Russians in the last thirty days do not represent much compared to the more than 120,000 km2 occupied in total by Russia - or 20% of the area of Ukraine or approximately that of Greece.
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At the same time, the counter-offensive in the south of the country in the Kherson region announced loud and clear by Ukrainian President Zelensky has been overdue for weeks.
Again, the front line does not move.
Has a "climax" - a Clausewitzian expression - of the conflict been reached?
Is this frozen front line logical in view of the war of attrition that is now the conflict in Ukraine?
Could the Ukrainian attacks deep inside the Russian device against ammunition depots and probably against an airbase in Crimea be a game-changer?
Conversely, isn't Russia in the interest of a long war to patiently wear down its adversary?
Should we fear a nuclear accident at the Zaporizhia power plant along the Dnieper,
controlled since the beginning of March by Russia, but near which artillery duels are being played out?
Where are the international negotiations when Turkey seems to be becoming an essential mediator?
Can we forecast and already imagine scenarios for the coming months?
In this new point of situation, find our answers in video, maps in support.
One hour to understand the military situation and the geopolitical context of the war in Ukraine.
