imagine the collapse

It is difficult to live in peace when it is so easy to imagine collapse.

Our state of mind senses the tremors of winter.

Europe saves energy while waiting for Putin to decide whether or not German homes will have heating in the coldest months of the year.

But before this happens, there are three key moments waiting for us, and how they are resolved will depend on whether our vertigo increases or is mitigated.

The first will be in Italy, which could trigger an earthquake due to its own endogenous tensions and its relationship with Russia.

The neo-fascist leader, Meloni, could lead a far-right coalition complacent with Vladimir Putin.

His coming to power would break the unity in Europe, as it would also, but in the West, that Liz Truss win the struggle for the leadership of Boris Johnson's party,

our second giddy date.

Since the Brexit wound, the Tory party has been installed in a parallel reality.

In the case of Truss, she just wants to show that she is the toughest in everything: with China, with asylum seekers, with tax pressure and also in international politics.

The West is preparing another nuclear agreement with Iran, and at some point Putin's war will be closed with a negotiation (“As all wars end”, according to Borrell).

If Thatcher's new emulator brings her iron hand to these two negotiations, it will be very difficult to contain the already precarious Western unity.

with fiscal pressure and also in international politics.

The West is preparing another nuclear agreement with Iran, and at some point Putin's war will be closed with a negotiation (“As all wars end”, according to Borrell).

If Thatcher's new emulator brings her iron hand to these two negotiations, it will be very difficult to contain the already precarious Western unity.

with fiscal pressure and also in international politics.

The West is preparing another nuclear agreement with Iran, and at some point Putin's war will be closed with a negotiation (“As all wars end”, according to Borrell).

If Thatcher's new emulator brings her iron hand to these two negotiations, it will be very difficult to contain the already precarious Western unity.

Across the ocean, the US Senate has just given the green light to the most ambitious plan to combat climate change in its history.

As happened with the pandemic and Biden's countercyclical policies, the US is once again assuming economic leadership, this time to address the climate crisis.

The narrative that aspires to mark the global conversation has two key axes.

First, the idea that the climate revolution will be fair or not, and it will have to be socially calibrated.

The yellow vests movement for the carbon tax showed that, to be effective, you have to target not the most vulnerable, but the richest, the biggest polluters.

And two: such a radical change in the lifestyles that define our identity so much must be addressed from the incentives, not only from the restrictions.

Biden proposes them via tax.

Do we want to strategically converge with that philosophy?

The renewed leadership of the US in the global conversation could disappear if, as the polls say, the Democrats lose Congress in November - our third big date - and the Republicans block all Biden policies for the rest of his term.

So fasten your seatbelts: dangerous curves are coming, and tracing them well or falling off a cliff will depend on our own decisions, those of the citizens.

That is the strength (and fragility) of democracies.

the Democrats lose Congress in November—our third big date—and the Republicans block all of Biden's policies for the rest of his term.

So fasten your seatbelts: dangerous curves are coming, and tracing them well or falling off a cliff will depend on our own decisions, those of the citizens.

That is the strength (and fragility) of democracies.

the Democrats lose Congress in November—our third big date—and the Republicans block all of Biden's policies for the rest of his term.

So fasten your seatbelts: dangerous curves are coming, and tracing them well or falling off a cliff will depend on our own decisions, those of the citizens.

That is the strength (and fragility) of democracies.

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