The scale of the world's population, which automatically reaches about 8 billion people, has become over the years a troubling issue and a concern for international economists who call for the reduction of the world's population in "conventional" ways and some would say in "unconventional" ways as well.
In their view, this is what will help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and contribute to the world economy.
is that so?
Recently, a forecast by the United Nations Population Division (UNPD) was published that India will replace China as the most populous country in the world in 2023, four years earlier than expected. India, for that matter, today boasts about 1.41 billion people and the population of China stands at 1.43 A billion people.
In the whole world, and also in Israel, they tend to use the words "population growth" or in the less subtle case, "population explosion", so that "population control" can be started, sometimes also selectively, as was done in China for three and a half decades.
In fact, the use of these terms paves the way for coercive measures to limit families, and worthless and unsocial statements regarding the size of the nuclear family unit.
In a strange way and in a strange way, these statements also find a connection to the topic of "world/climate crisis".
Sometimes the conversations in the living room reflect for us the trend of the street to social phenomena, this is how the words from the reality show 'Survival' were heard in the conversation that took place between the refugees of the reality show.
"There are X resources for the earth. In terms of the globality of the world," actress Shira Farbar tried to explain her position on the birth issue.
She was supported by actor/model Michael Lewis who added: "I also think the world doesn't need more people."
Farber and Lewis received a "relief" from the reality show refugee Jackie Azoulay who responded angrily: "Then get out of the world so I can have another child."
So for the information of Ferber and Lewis: the corona epidemic managed to "assist" in thinning the world population.
This is according to the latest update of the United Nations that was published recently. According to the United Nations estimate, between the years 2020-2021, 15 million deaths were recorded in the world, due to the Corona epidemic.
It also turns out that the growth rate began to decrease gradually and since 2019, the global population growth rate has dropped below 1%.
The population of Europe, for example, decreased by 744,000 people in 2020 and by 1.4 million last year.
In fact, the decline in the scope of the European population began since 1950 due to an increase in deaths, immigration, epidemics as well as a low rate of fertility and a decrease in births, so the expectation today is that the population of Europe will continue to decrease.
Since 2016, the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), together with the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), has launched a global initiative to deal with the issue of childbirth in 12 countries where the phenomenon of child and adolescent marriage is prevalent.
The initiative included the countries: Bangladesh, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Ghana, India, Mozambique, Nepal, Niger, Sierra Leone, Uganda, Yemen and Zambia.
The purpose of the UN was not necessarily to address the social-value problem prevailing in these countries, but to limit the scope of the population.
The UN report notes that, "As the world's population growth continues, this creates possible complications in the fight against climate change. An increase in the number of people means more greenhouse gases are emitted into the atmosphere," the report states.
The activities of the United Nations have been largely successful, one could say, since the recently released United Nations report indicates that there has been a significant decrease in the birth rate of teenagers in Central and South Asia, and especially in India. According to the United Nations, a desirable and sustainable fertility rate is such that the number of children born to one woman stands at 2.1 only.
Meeting such a target, in their view, is necessary "to achieve stability in the population".
Fertility in India, for that matter, today stands at only 2 children per woman, even below the fertility figure recommended by the United Nations. From the point of view of India and the United Nations, this is an impressive achievement, especially in light of the fact that in the 1960s, the country faced a population that grew rapidly and held with a fertility rate of 6 children per woman.
Globe is getting grayer
China has reason to worry about a change in the one-child policy.
The country that conducted a stubborn policy and worked for a significant decrease in the population may fall economically if some "fertility miracle" does not occur for it, as estimated by professor emeritus at the London School of Economics Charles Goodhart.
Estimates are that the rate of population in China is expected to decrease by about 6 million every year.
"If you look at the world map of the countries that are going to decrease in population size, it actually starts in central Europe and goes east to Japan across Russia and China," he clarified.
The reduction in the birth rate and the demographic data has a direct connection to the economy, mainly in relation to Western countries such as Europe, North America, East and South Asia - where the population is getting older.
This issue poses political-political challenges in those countries and some of them look with hope towards the African countries south of the Sahara, such as Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria and Pakistan - where tremendous growth is expected.
The expectation is that these countries will account for more than half of the world's population growth in the next 30 years, creating what UN officials call a "demographic dividend."
"Countries expecting an increase in the number of people of working age as a share of the total population have an opportunity to maximize the benefits of the dividend by investing in the creation of human capital," the UN report said.
Israel: doubling the population, productivity and growth
As of the end of 2020, approximately 9.3 million residents lived in Israel, and in the last decade the number of residents increased by approximately 1.6 million people.
According to the forecast of the Central Bureau of Statistics, in 40 years the population of Israel will be more than 18 million.
If we add to this the good economic situation of Israel, compared to other countries and the increasing manifestations of anti-Semitism in the world, it can be assumed that the flow of immigration to Israel will continue to increase.
As far as Israel is concerned, the high natural increase is an economic springboard and it can be said that the country is enjoying a 'golden age'.
For more than 15 years, since the Second Lebanon War, Israel has maintained relative peace, strategic stability and prosperity.
The economy is booming, with the average annual growth rate exceeding 3.5% in the last decade and accelerating to an incredible 8% in 2021. The unemployment rate is close to zero;
Inflation is lower than in Western countries;
The standard of living is steadily increasing;
The hi-tech revolution catapulted Israel to the forefront of global technology and the country signed peace agreements with six Arab League countries and continues to deepen cooperation with additional Arab countries.
With a population close to nearly 10 million and a GDP per capita that eclipses that of Great Britain, Israel is ultimately an amazing success story. Still, there is still much to be done and corrected so that the citizen of Israel will feel all this "goodness", but what is certain is that countries All over the world they see Israel as a strategic partner and look for it not only to buy "natural gas" or "weapons" - but they are interested in the human capital here.
The state was founded on this human capital and it is getting stronger and has also proven that, despite low PISA figures in education, Israel does not stop breaking new "channels" in every continent of the world.
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