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The revelation of Liz Cheney's primary defeat: Won't it be Democrats who can beat Trump in 2024?

2022-08-18T10:36:06.847Z


In normal American politics, the surname "Cheney" is seen by Democrats as synonymous with almost any swear word you can imagine. Kainaka Yuanyu is, of course, the vice president of the Bush era, Cheney


In normal American politics, the surname "Cheney" is seen by Democrats as synonymous with almost any swear word you can imagine.

Kazhongyuan is, of course, the vice president of the Bush era, Dick Cheney, who pushed the invasion of Iraq with false evidence of weapons of mass destruction, and even used his contacts as an official to enter the business world and make a lot of money.


Strangely, Liz Cheney, Cheney's daughter, who inherited her father's House seat in Wyoming, has the support of a whopping 60% of Democrats, but only 13% of Republicans.

In the just past Republican primary election, Liz Cheney, who was elected with more than 70% of the votes in 2020, lost by a huge margin of 37 percentage points to Trump's support and no Wikipedia page. Hand of Harriet Hageman.


No one can explain the reason better than Liz Cheney himself: "Two years ago, I won this primary with 73% of the vote, and I could easily win it again. The path is obvious, but it will require me to Following President Trump's lies about the 2020 election and asking me to cooperate with his continued drive to dismantle our democratic institutions and attack the foundations of our republic is a path I cannot and will not take."

The Anti-Trump

Few people on the US policy spectrum are more "Republican" than Liz Cheney.

She joined Trump in the 2016 vote to enter the center of electoral politics in Washington, where 93 percent of House votes under Trump supported Trump's policies.

She advocates tax cuts, anti-abortion, supports torture and interrogation, defends the invasion of Iraq... and during Obama's tenure, she also refused to criticize conspiracy theorists who claimed that Obama was not born in the United States.

The family origin of the name "Cheney" and his years of work in the Republican government have made Liz Cheney's political status skyrocket after being elected to the House of Representatives. Person number three.

And, in Republican circles, Liz Cheney, who is in her fifties, is widely regarded as a rising star who has the potential to become the Republican Party's first female Speaker of the House, or even its first female presidential candidate.

The Congressional riots on January 6, 2021, turned Liz Cheney's bright political course.

In the past, she was considered a "loyal Trumpist" by the liberal media, but turned into a staunch "anti-specialist", described by the media as "Anti-Trump", and led 9 other Republican members to vote in the House of Representatives. "Second impeachment" of Trump.

After losing the election, Liz Cheney delivered a speech to supporters, the scene of which has the atmosphere of a presidential rally.

(AP)

Even though many Republican politicians who criticized Trump immediately after the congressional riots "returned to Trump's arms", Liz Cheney still held high the banner of "Trump threatens our democracy" and lost the Received the chairmanship of the House Republican Conference, was publicly criticized by Trump, intimidated by his family, became a street rat in an almost completely Trumpized Republican Party, and is no longer considered a republic in the Wyoming Republican Party Party members, also formally condemned by the Republican National Committee.

Under all kinds of pressure, Liz Cheney still remained the same, and even joined the House Congressional Riot Investigation Committee, becoming one of the only two Republican members, and leading the investigation as the vice chairman of the committee. The hearings spearheaded the unraveling of Trump's own possible ties to the 2020 electoral fraud lies and congressional riots.

Dating back to Lincoln's "Great Mission"

With Republican voters still generally clouded by Trump's influence, Liz Cheney's loss in Crimson Wyoming has been a predictable fortune.

Although his opponent, Hagerman, has a very low reputation, he has long led Liz Cheney in the polls by nearly 30 percentage points because of Trump's blessing.

While a handful of Democrats in Wyoming have registered as Republican voters to support Liz Cheney, in Wyoming, where there are more than twice as many Republicans as Democrats, that's a drop in the bucket.

The support of the Democrats for Liz Cheney, and even the support of the very few "anti-specialists" in the Republican Party, can only be reflected in her fundraising ability - after this defeat, she still has $7 million in funds.

Most of Liz Cheney's supporters have a strong rural atmosphere in the United States. It can be seen that this group of voters does not support Trump.

(AP)

At a rally where he conceded defeat, Liz Cheney generously declared that "this primary is over", insinuating that Trump, who was revealed by congressional investigations to still refuse to say "the election is over" after the riots, said "the real election is over" The work has only just begun."

There was no sense of failure in the atmosphere of the rally, after all it was known that Liz Cheney would lose.

Amid applause from supporters, Liz Cheney reiterated that she will do everything in her power to ensure Trump never gets near the Oval Office again.

As he left the podium, a song called "I Won't Back Down" was playing in the background.

For the remainder of his term in the coming months, Liz Cheney will use his role as vice chairman of the Congressional Riot Adjustment Committee to continue to hold Trump accountable.

At the same time, she is also preparing for her departure in the coming year.

On the one hand, within hours of the defeat, Liz Cheney had notified the Federal Election Commission of the formation of a political action committee (PAC) called "The Great Task", received $7 million on hand, and as a tool for continued fundraising in the future.

The name of its "Great Mission" can be traced back to President Lincoln's famous "Gettysburg Address" during the Civil War, which means to protect the United States of America and its free, democratic constitutional system.

In a televised interview after the defeat, Liz Cheney also revealed that she is considering running for president and will make a decision in the next few months - the same schedule as Trump's potential 2024 candidacy. .

Third party "vote-splitting"

Liz Cheney's candidacy for the presidency, in the current Republican mood, as in the Wyoming primary, can only be a futile effort.

Of the 10 Republican members of the House of Representatives who voted to impeach Trump, only two will win the primary and continue to represent the party in the November election.

However, if the "merit" here does not refer to winning the election, but to "bringing down Trump," Liz Cheney's attempt would not necessarily be in vain.

One of them could be Liz Cheney's participation in the Republican Party's presidential primary.

On August 16, Liz Cheney went to the polls with his father to vote.

(AP)

Assuming that Trump is determined to run for the election, since other candidates in the party are inextricably linked with Trump's line, it is difficult to raise the banner of "anti-specialism" in a clear and honest way. The only one who can openly challenge Trump is only "Anti-Trump" Liz Cheney.

On the one hand, this will provide a political outlet for politicians in the party who are "daring to speak out" against Trump; on the other hand, challenging Trump will also give Liz Cheney a bigger stage to attack Trump Popular questioning the election, inciting congressional riots - Cheney, who knows the relevant cases well by leading the riot investigation, would be the best candidate.

Of course, this kind of action cannot defeat Trump within the party, but it can make the moderate and middle voters of the Republican Party even more discouraged from Trump, and may finally break Trump's 2024 "return to the DPRK dream" in the general election. ".

Another possibility is to run for the presidential election as a third party and directly compete with Trump for votes.

Under the two-party system in the United States, a third party can often lead to the defeat of the two major party candidates.

From 1912, when Woodrow Wilson won the White House with 41.8% of the votes, two former Republican candidates won the White House, and in 1992, Bill Clinton won with 43% of the votes, interrupting the old Bush's re-election. Even the 2000 Democratic nominee Al Gore's loss by hundreds of votes in Florida had third-party influence behind it.

Although Liz Cheney's current Republican voter support is only over 10%, this tiny support can be the key to distinguishing victory in a number of key swing states in the United States.

Ultimately, Trump's 2024 defeat will likely be an indirect or direct vote from Liz Cheney, not Biden and the Democrats.

Liz Cheney once declared to his party members that "Trump will leave one day, but your shame will live on".

She herself will play an important role in the difficult task of hastening this day.

Once supported the impeachment of Trump, U.S. Congressman Liz Cheney lost the primary election. Liz Cheney's loss in the party's primary election means that the Republican Party will become the "Trump party". Trump refuses to answer questions in a criminal case. May 2024 be "jailed to run for election"?

Outside the haze of the Taiwan Strait, Biden is entering a miraculous "return to the light"?

Source: hk1

All news articles on 2022-08-18

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