The Eisenkot effect: Gantz gets stronger, Labor weakens and Lapid maintains his power
74 days to the elections and still no decision between the blocs.
The Netanyahu bloc remains with 59 mandates, compared to the Lapid bloc which stands at 55. After the split of religious Zionism, Ben Gabir's Otzma Yehudit receives 7 mandates and Smotrich's party stands at only 5.
Shaked and Handel do not pass the blocking percentage
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08/19/2022
Friday, August 19, 2022, 06:00 Updated: 06:02
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Eisenkot in his debut speech: "I decided to take action, Gantz is the most worthy" (Photo: Kontakt)
There are still 74 days left for the elections, but according to a Maariv poll, there is still no decision between the existing blocs.
Netanyahu's bloc still does not reach the expected number of 61 mandates, but neither does the bloc of his opponents come close to the desired number.
According to the survey conducted by Menachem Lazar, director of the Fenals Politics Institute, former Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot is "equal" to the state camp led by Benny Gantz and Gideon Sa'ar with two mandates.
The survey data also shows that the splitting of the religious Zionist list benefits Otzma Yehudit led by Itamar Ben Gvir, who receives 7 mandates. In contrast, religious Zionism receives only 5, after before the split the party received 10 mandates. The split weakens the Likud and Shas, some of whose voters switch to supporting Otzma Yehudit.
Although this is a personal achievement for Ben Gabir, in bloc terms there is no news here, because the mandates come at the expense of the Likud and Shas, while religious Zionism may get too close to the red line.
Maariv / 19.8.2022
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A green leaf forbids Al Islamia
Netanyahu's bloc remains on 59 seats, and the Zionist Spirit party led by Ayelet Shaked, which may make the difference for him, does not pass the blocking percentage.
The Lapid Bloc, including the state camp, which has its own pretensions to form the next government, is strengthened to 55 thanks to Meretz passing the blocking percentage when the joint list mediates with 6 mandates.
According to the data, if the elections for the 25th Knesset had been held today, the Likud party led by Benjamin Netanyahu would have won 32 seats.
Likud loses one mandate in favor of Otzma Yehudit.
Yesh Atid Chairman Yair Lapid continues to enjoy the fruits of Operation "Dawn" and his party reaches 25 seats for the second week in a row. The state camp led by Benny Gantz benefits from the addition of former Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot, who was placed third on the list, climbing to 12 Mandates, two more than the previous poll.
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To the full article
The image of the blocks.
Election survey, August 18, 2022 (photo: photo processing, official website)
Shas, which received 9 mandates in the previous poll, loses one mandate in favor of Otzma Yehudit and drops to 8. Torah Judaism, led by Moshe Gafni, remains with 7. The joint list, one of its constituents in the LD threatens to run alone, remains static with 6 mandates, So is Israel Beytinu led by Avigdor Lieberman which received 5 mandates.
In the sector of the left parties, it seems that the impression of the primaries has expired in the Labor party, led by Merav Michaeli, and it loses 2 mandates compared to the previous poll and has to settle for only 5 this time.
Some move to Lish Atid, and some move to Meretz, which is showing signs of recovery.
In the current poll, Meretz, who will hold primaries next week, receives 4 mandates, after last week she did not pass the percentage of blocking.
A similar amount of mandates is received by RA led by Mansur Abbas, and it now stands at 4.
This time the bad news comes to the Zionist Spirit party led by Ayelet Shaked which falls below the percentage of the block with only 2.6%.
Also below the red line are the Economic Party led by Professor Yaron Zelicha (0.6%), Free Israel led by Eli Avidar (0.2%), the Jewish Home led by Yossi Brodani (0.0%) and Ale Yerok - Banning Al Islamia (0.2%).
737 members of the panel of Panel4All respondents participated in the survey to conduct research on the Internet.
The survey was conducted on a representative sample of the adult population in the State of Israel aged 18 and over, Jews and Arabs alike.
The maximum sampling error in this survey is 4.2%.
2022 election
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