The electoral advantage of the PP over the PSOE in the polls, although somewhat slowed down, as reflected in its 40dB study.
for EL PAÍS and Cadena SER, will be reflected this morning in the identity of those attending a breakfast with the popular leader, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, organized by the Europa Press agency.
The massive influx to the call for leaders and positions of the PP is taken for granted;
to go, they would all go.
But it will be necessary to observe which members of the economic, business, financial and trade union world will attend.
This time, the political and economic course is not inaugurated by the President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, accompanied by bankers, financiers and Ibex companies, as in previous years, but in an act with citizens from different labor sectors.
Each actor will mark his territory.
The unions, shortly, will set their course;
they do not want tutelage or strange traveling companions.
The mobilizations that are expected for the fall will come from various more or less recognizable groups, but the centrals want to identify theirs without confusion.
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When the President of the Government opens the debate in the Senate tomorrow with a long exchange of positions and proposals in front of Núñez Feijóo, both will have a large package of measures and reproaches on the table.
Feijóo's advantage, or so he believes, is that he has not seen the need to respond clearly and precisely on very specific issues.
From the rise in pensions, the increase in wages, or the growing credit of the Government of Spain in the European Union on its energy and price control proposals.
Debates in Parliament, dialogue tables and possible, more than likely, demonstrations in the street.
This is the framework in which Spanish public life will move until the next general elections at the end of 2023, with a stop in the municipal and regional elections in May.
Energy dependence has not yet taken shape in the lives of Europeans, but the Government and the unions are studying the consequences.
Without a rents pact, the ability to contain discontent will be severely limited.
There are no objective reasons, at this time, to consider that the employers will accept, not just sit down to negotiate the amount of the salary increase, but even consider the idea of an increase.
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CC OO and UGT are studying the response options to the scenarios that may arise and their ability to influence so that their constituents, and workers in general, are not left out in the open in the long winter ahead.
Flexibility will be its maximum if the negotiation of collective agreements begins, but with some guarantee.
It will not be worth the distant commitment that salary increases can occur in the third year.
Just that, no.
It does not even occur to them to ask for a salary increase in line with inflation, almost 10%, but 3% or 4%, and in a staggered manner, to reach the third year with a real recovery of purchasing power.
At the moment, the bosses are in the absolute no.
This rejection is not exclusive to large companies,
The Government and the unions do not accept as an incontrovertible reality that the companies, within their variety and the impossibility of making them an absolute, are in losses.
Those are not the data of the economic teams of the Government and the trade union centrals.
The certainty that there is room for salary increases has pushed the second vice president and Minister of Labor, Yolanda Díaz, to call on the employers to sit down to negotiate.
Every movement within the coalition government is analyzed by its own members with the attitude of seeing beyond what it seems.
The vice president has carried the flag of the successive rises in the Interprofessional Minimum Wage (SMI) and is not going to pose it on any table.
Her fellow government officials, with or without a PSOE card,
They will not allow the vice president and United We Can to score success.
There will be a rise in the SMI, government sources agree.
At this stop they wait for the PP and its president, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, to position themselves.
To rule on this issue, the popular leader must be prepared, since the warnings that he is going to be asked about the matter are public and notorious.
This Tuesday, Sánchez will try in the Senate that Feijóo not limit himself to contributing his proposals, but will cause him to pronounce on the decisions that the Government is going to make.
The rise of the SMI will be one of them;
also the revaluation of pensions, and the salary of civil servants is pending.
It is not easy for the conservative opposition to pronounce on wage increases, pensions or salaries in the public service.
Let the Government pay the cost of its actions.
This is the attitude of the opposition, trusting that the citizen's radar will not detect what aspects it is silent on.
It will not be Feijóo who calls for mobilizations, although he will be understanding depending on the reasons.
The unions, shortly, will announce when and why they will call to take to the streets.
If the bosses do not sit down to negotiate, that reason is certain.
But the Government will receive its share of criticism on the banners.
Moncloa and the economic ministries can take measures to cushion the deterioration of work and daily life.
Neither useful fools, for the benefit of the staunch detractors of the Government, nor the great umbrella for the Left Executive.
The unions will seek a balance that seems difficult to them.
Meanwhile, the global mobilization plan sponsored by the European Trade Union Confederation is advancing.
Before the cold arrives.
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