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The situation in Russia and Ukraine | The Russian army suffered a heavy setback, but the Ukrainian army has not turned the tide of the war

2022-09-12T04:08:04.321Z


The Ukrainian victory in Kharkiv was clearly a humiliating defeat for Russia. Four months of military gains were lost in less than three days under the Ukrainian offensive. In order to avoid being surrounded by opponents,


The Ukrainian victory in Kharkiv was clearly a humiliating defeat for Russia. Four months of military gains were lost in less than three days under the Ukrainian offensive.

In order to avoid being surrounded and annihilated by opponents, the 16,000 Russian troops stationed in Izyum and other places were copied on three sides of the Ukrainian army and fled to the east from the only gap. It's too late to take away or blow up.

The greater humiliation is not at the level of these combat capabilities, but at the level of war command and military deployment.

In order to launch this military operation, the Ukrainian army adopted the tactic of turning the tiger away from the mountains.

Before launching the battle, the Ukrainian army first gathered its forces in Kherson, near Crimea, in the south, creating the illusion of an attack on Kherson.

Because Kherson is a logistics base for the Russian army, there is no room for loss, so the Russian army quickly transferred troops from Kharkov and other places in the north.

At the same time that the Russian army was transferred away, the Ukrainian army secretly moved towards Kharkov in two ways, taking the opponent by surprise.

This reflects, first, that the Russian army has serious loopholes in intelligence collection and tactical command.

With such a major local military operation by the other side, the Russian army has a black eye. The "pits" dropped by the army when the north and south attacked were almost identical.

Second, the Russian army's front-line military strength is stretched, and now it is no longer able to take care of multiple battlefields.

In addition to the above-mentioned mistakes in intelligence collection and tactical command, the Russian army is actually facing a very big dilemma in the process of using troops in Ukraine. Then the Ukrainian army may turn the feint attack on Kherson to the main attack and take the opportunity to take Kherson; if they transfer troops from Kharkov to assist in defending Kherson, Kharkov will face the dilemma of emptiness again. May lose Kherson.

Battle of Kharkov on September 10.

The area of ​​land recaptured by the Ukrainian army in just a few days is larger than that of the Russian army as a whole since April, and the advance to the land supply chain on the Russian side's Kupiansk-Izyum line will affect the Russian army's attack on Donetsk.

(ISW)

The final result was that the Russian army defended Kherson, and caused great damage to the feigned Ukrainian army here, but had to abandon the important northern town of Kherson.

——Not long ago (August 15) Putin signed an order to increase the number of troops and recruit 137,000 new soldiers. Judging from the fact that the Russian army cannot take care of multiple battlefields on the front line this time, the lack of front-line troops has become a major problem faced by the Russian army. question.

In addition to the above-mentioned failures, some other performances of the Russian army on the battlefield are also far from the "second military power in the world" that people originally imagined.

One of the most explanatory cases is the HIMERS rocket launcher system. Although HIMERS is powerful, it is not that advanced at all in the U.S. arsenal, even compared with Chinese rockets.

However, it is such a weapon that is not too advanced for China and the United States, but Russia is helpless, watching it cause great damage to itself, and even constantly changing the comparison of local battlefields, but there is no way to find and end the opponent.

Imagine if the U.S. military goes further and supplies the Ukrainian army with Haimas with a range of more than 300 kilometers, or other more advanced offensive weapon systems such as F16, F15 fighter jets, or B1-B, B52, B2 with more mass destruction Strategic bombers, etc., what pressure will the Russian army face on the front line?

Fortunately, Russia still has nuclear weapons to support it, so that the United States does not dare to assist weapons of mass destruction. If it does not have nuclear weapons, what will happen to the Russian military now is really hard to say.

At this time, we can look back and think about the Korean battlefield.

In the Korean War, China did not have nuclear weapons. Not only did it have no nuclear weapons, but other weapons and equipment were also extremely backward. Except for millets and rifles, the most powerful weapons in the Volunteer Army were mainly from Soviet aid, while the US military on the other side used other than atomic bombs. of all state-of-the-art weapons.

The Russian army retaliated on September 11 against the civilian power supply facility in Kharkiv.

(AP)

As a result, in the Korean battlefield, the poorly equipped Volunteers fought five victories in five battles. With their tenacious fighting will and superb strategy and tactics, the U.S. military was forced back to the 38th parallel, and it once occupied Seoul, showing the prestige of the Volunteers.

Compared with the fighting will and command level of the Volunteers back then, the Russian military's current military command and tactical level is really uncomplimentable.

However, on the other hand, although Russia suffered a tragic defeat this time, it cannot be said that the Ukrainian army will win the final victory, and it cannot even be said that the battlefield situation has been completely reversed.

The Russian-Ukrainian war has been turned into a protracted war, a war of attrition, and a gain or loss is actually not important.

After all, the overall strength of Russia and Ukraine is too far apart, and Russia's tolerance for war is incomparable to Ukraine and the Europe and the United States behind it.

Especially as the war gets longer and winter approaches, it is hard to say whether Europe will have differences on the war under the impact of multiple pressures such as the energy crisis, the refugee crisis, and inflation.

Moreover, compared with the fact that the Russian army has occupied 20% of Ukraine’s territory, the lost land of two or three thousand square kilometers does not account for a large proportion for Russia. The significance it brings to Ukraine is mainly at the level of morale.

And Russia wants to reverse the passive situation, I am afraid it is not only the morale problem to solve, but also various aspects such as combat thinking, strategy and tactics, scientific and technological warfare level, weapon system update, intelligence collection and so on.

The Ukrainian army has made further progress in the counter-offensive. The Russian army was ridiculed and fled as fast as the Olympians. The Ukrainian army recaptured a large area of ​​Kharkov. U.S. provides another $2.675 billion in military aid to Ukraine and its neighboring allies

Source: hk1

All news articles on 2022-09-12

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