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Xu Shuchang pointed out that the epidemic situation is declining: in many places, the mortality rate is 0.1%, and the confirmed diagnosis is expected to maintain 4 digits

2022-09-18T05:49:26.136Z


The World Health Organization recently stated that the end of the epidemic is in sight, and Hong Kong experts have also "barked fire" on the death rate of the new crown. But medical


The World Health Organization recently stated that the end of the epidemic is in sight, and Hong Kong experts have also "barked fire" on the death rate of the new crown.

However, the director of the Medical and Health Bureau, Lu Chongmao, did not name the criticism. Some people pointed out that the new crown is like the flu, which will cause misunderstandings by the public.


Today (18th), Xu Shuchang, one of the government's expert advisers, said on a TV program that the epidemic situation in Hong Kong is indeed showing a downward trend, and the immediate reproduction rate of the virus is below 1. With reference to Singapore's experience, it is expected that Hong Kong will continue to maintain a low four-digit number of confirmed cases.

He also believes that as long as there are no new variants of the virus in Hong Kong, the vaccination rate is high, and many people have mixed immunity protection after contracting the virus, the mortality rate will be lower and lower.


As for whether the death rate of the new crown and the flu are the same?

Xu said, "In many places in my home, the mortality rate is close to 0.1%." Xu Shuchang also stated that the proportion of imported cases is less than 2%. If the number of confirmed cases in a single day continues to decline in the next week or two, and the medical system can bear it, the government can consider it. Gradually relax quarantine arrangements, such as "0+7", and even consider canceling the requirement of nucleic acid testing for inbound passengers before boarding the plane.


▼On September 17th, Yang Hebeiyin and Mai Meijuan attended the "Pilot Program to Encourage Elderly Vaccinations"▼


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Xu Shuchang said on the radio program "Speak Clearly" today that according to WHO figures, the number of confirmed cases worldwide has dropped by 28% in the past week, and the latest death toll is 22% lower than the previous week. The WHO also pointed out that the end of the epidemic is in sight.

Ending the epidemic is not the same as disappearing the virus

However, Xu Shuchang emphasized that "the end is in sight" only refers to the WHO's plan to remove the new crown epidemic from the global emergency major concern list due to the decline in the number of confirmed cases and the death rate, and the increase in the injection rate. "It does not mean that the epidemic will disappear or the virus will disappear." It is also encouraged to continue to increase vaccination rates around the world.

Xu Shuchang said that the epidemic situation in Hong Kong is showing a downward trend, and the immediate reproduction rate of the virus is lower than 1. It is expected that Hong Kong will continue to maintain a low four-digit number of confirmed cases.

(file picture)

He pointed out that the trend of the epidemic in Hong Kong has gradually declined, showing a downward trend. The immediate reproduction rate of the virus is below 1, but it is expected that Hong Kong will continue to maintain a low four-digit number of confirmed cases.

He explained that taking Singapore as an example, the local vaccination rate is high, with 16,000 to 17,000 new cases per day during the peak period, but it has remained at around 2,000 cases after the recent decline. It is believed that Hong Kong will also have a similar trend.

As for whether there will be another outbreak in winter, it depends on whether there will be a new variant of the virus.

If citizens are vaccinated, the epidemic will be relatively easy to control.

▼ On September 6, 9 patients diagnosed with illegal "red code" were escorted to Penny's Bay for isolation▼


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The death rate is getting lower

He also believes that if there are no new variants of the virus in Hong Kong, the vaccination rate is high, and many people have mixed immunity protection after infection, the mortality rate will be lower and lower.

As for whether the death rate of the new crown and the flu are the same?

Xu Shuchang only pointed out, "In many places at home, the mortality rate is close to 0.1%."

However, he emphasized that the vaccination rate of one old and one young is not ideal, and it is still necessary to increase the vaccination rate, especially that only 53% of the elderly over 80 have received three injections. Chance of severe death.

Entry quarantine can be relaxed by "0+7"

Xu also mentioned that the proportion of imported cases per day is much lower than 2%, and 98% of imported cases can also be found within seven days of arrival in Hong Kong.

If the daily number of confirmed cases continues to drop in the next week or two and the medical system can bear it, the government may consider gradually relaxing the quarantine arrangement.

He expected that the government should start to relax from "0+7". If there is no rebound in community cases, "0+7" will be gradually reduced.

In addition, when asked about someone who thinks that the government can consider canceling the nucleic acid test requirement for incoming passengers before boarding the plane, Xu Shuchang agreed that many places may not be able to arrange for passengers to take nucleic acid testing 48 hours before boarding the plane. Inbound people also need to have at least two injections. In addition, about 40% of confirmed cases have been found within three days of arrival in Hong Kong. Therefore, it is believed that the requirement for nucleic acid testing before returning to Hong Kong to board the plane can be cancelled.

Epidemic | HKTB invites 18 Southeast Asian artists to show creative techniques of Hong Kong’s M+ Forbidden City | 1,036 local cases were reported in mainland yesterday, Tianjin citywide testing Lhasa apologizes for epidemic prevention WHO strongly does not recommend REGEN-COV for new crown treatment Hospital Authority: Close Pay attention to the changes in the epidemic situation Au Jiarong: The new crown is still a pandemic and cannot be compared with the flu. Whether the epidemic will stabilize or not remains to be seen | The new crown epidemic is not far away?

The truth about the drop in daily infection numbers

Source: hk1

All news articles on 2022-09-18

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