This Friday marks the last day of campaigning in Italy before the early general elections which will take place on Sunday.
The latest polls published last week put Giorgia Meloni's post-fascist formation, Fratelli d'Italia (FdI) in a good position.
His party is credited with 24 to 25% of the voting intentions, ahead of the Democratic Party between 21 and 22%.
This is followed by the 5 Star Movement (ex-antisystems) with 13 to 15%, the League with 12%, Forza Italia (FI) with 8%.
The right-wing coalition which brings together Fratelli d'Italia, Forza Italia and the League could win between 45% and 55% of the seats in parliament.
Read alsoGiorgia Meloni: Italians first
Such a result on polling day would allow Giorgia Meloni to claim the post of prime minister and set the course for the coalition, notably with the liberal right of former head of government Silvio Berlusconi.
For his other ally on the other hand, the boss of the League on the other hand Matteo Salvini, propelled to power after winning 17% of the votes in the legislative elections of 2018 then 34% in the European elections the following year, the potion would on the other hand be bitter.
At the height of the crisis caused by the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Italy would be, after Sweden, the second member of the EU to have a coalition government between the right and the extreme right.
“The polls have been denied in the past”
The election is being closely watched in Brussels after the victory of a right-wing and far-right bloc in Sweden, as Giorgia Meloni could become the first female head of government of an EU founding country at the head of a post-fascist party.
Read alsoItaly: the Russian embassy interferes in the electoral campaign
Be careful, however, warns Marc Lazar, professor at Sciences Po Paris and Luiss University in Rome, if the victory of the conservatives seems acquired, “
the polls have been denied in the past
”.
A key factor in this election, the participation rate should drop to a historically low level, below 70%.
Conducted in the middle of summer when the Italians were at the beach, it was "
one of the worst post-war campaigns (...) There was no confrontation over the ideas and visions of each
», Analyzes Flavio Chiapponi, from the University of Pavia.
The right-wing coalition generally wants more borders and less “
bureaucratic
” Europe, more birth rates and less immigration, more “
Judeo-Christian
” values and less taxes.
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