The January 2022 joint statement by five
“nuclear-armed” states,
including Russia, recalling that a
“nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought”
was a reassuring promise, even if the India, Pakistan, Israel and North Korea had not signed it.
She seems to come up against another reality.
Nuclear deterrence has once again become an instrument of balance of power, whether for Vladimir Putin's Russia, which is brandishing the threat, or for China, which is rearming.
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Beijing's arsenal could grow to 700 in 2027 or even 1,000 in 2030.
“All states with nuclear weapons are increasing or improving their arsenals and many are sharpening nuclear rhetoric and the role of nuclear weapons in their military strategies”
s alarmed the Swedish institute Sipri in its June report.
Will the doctrines of deterrence, which dictate the conditions of use of nuclear power, be brought about to evolve?
What are the bases of strategic dialogue?
For all states with nuclear weapons…
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