Gas allocation before the end - but what comes next?

Created: 09/26/2022, 15:57

By: Lisa Mayerhofer

The gas surcharge was supposed to save troubled companies like Uniper.

But now the levy itself is about to end.

What an alternative might look like.

Berlin – The idea of ​​a gas levy annoyed many consumers.

After all, in addition to ailing suppliers, well-earning corporations have also hoped for the help.

But now it's clear: the gas surcharge for millions of gas customers is wobbling enormously.

The leaders of all three traffic light parties moved away from the controversial additional burden for gas customers more or less quickly.

Negotiations are now going on behind the scenes as to how the energy suppliers can be stabilized instead.

It's about billions - and the question of where the money should come from.

A government spokesman said on Monday that the structure of an overall solution would become visible "very quickly" and in a very orderly process.

This is not only about the gas surcharge, but also about a possible gas price brake.

Time is pressing, because on Wednesday the cabinet is supposed to introduce changes to the gas levy that exclude "free riders" - i.e. companies that don't need any rescue but still want to collect the money from consumers.

What kind of levy is that – and why is it now on the brink?

The surcharge is intended to save gas importers who have previously bought Russian gas and now have to buy elsewhere at significantly higher prices due to the lack of deliveries.

The importers cannot simply pass these high prices on to municipal utilities and other customers.

Instead, all gas customers should pay extra – around 2.4 cents per kilowatt hour consumed.

Most of the money should go to two gas importers that are particularly dependent on the Russian business: Uniper and the former Gazprom subsidiary Sefe.

But it is now clear that Uniper is to be nationalized.

The state could also become more involved in Sefe, which is now under federal control.

Habeck therefore sees possible financial constitutional risks if the main beneficiaries of the levy are in the hands of the state.

What is the problem if the gas levy tips over?

The gas importers are still under enormous pressure – and without help, they may be on the brink of collapse.

The coalition must therefore find a solution as to how suppliers can be saved without a surcharge.

Companies expect to continue to face very high gas replacement costs.

The surcharge should compensate for 90 percent of this by April 2024, that would have been 34 billion euros.

Whether that's enough at all depends on how Russian gas supplies continue.

The controversial gas surcharge to support large gas importers is under scrutiny.

© Marijan Murat/dpa

Energy Crisis: What options are available for financing?

The seemingly simplest solution would be to go into debt.

Finance Minister Christian Lindner (FDP) could apply to the Bundestag that the debt brake anchored in the Basic Law be suspended for another year.

This is possible in "extraordinary emergency situations that are beyond the control of the state and have a significant impact on the state's financial situation".

Whether such an emergency situation exists is a matter of interpretation.

Greens and SPD would not be averse to explaining them.

However, Lindner rules out further debt because he fears a “fiscal dam breach” with horrendous financing requests in all possible areas.

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Habeck has brought a so-called special fund into play as a further option.

That would run parallel to the federal budget and take out loans that do not count in the debt brake.

Lindner is not enthusiastic about that either: a special fund like that for the German armed forces could offer planning security for investments.

But this is not about investments, but about rescue packages.

Lindner also brushes off tax increases for the rich or heirs, arguing that they endanger Germany's competitiveness.

Is it still possible to tip the gas surcharge in time?

The gas surcharge should apply from October 1st.

The federal government still has a week to find a solution, says SPD General Secretary Kevin Kühnert: "In our view, nobody in Germany should have to pay this levy, not even temporarily." Green Party leader Omid Nouripour assumes that the surcharge nevertheless comes into effect and is then subsequently withdrawn.

The Ministry of Economic Affairs points out that, according to the current status, the levy will come into force at the beginning of October, but that payments on account will not be due until the end of the month.

What other measures is the government planning to cushion additional costs for gas customers?

A price brake for gas is becoming more and more likely - but details are open.

"The situation is extremely confusing for consumers," said Ramona Pop, head of the Federal Association of Consumers.

The priority must be to provide additional targeted support, especially for people with little money.

There are a lot of people who simply cannot pay gas and electricity bills of several hundred or even more than a thousand euros a month,” she warned.

The Bundestag is also scheduled to vote on Friday on a temporary reduction in VAT on gas deliveries via the natural gas network.

From October 1, 2022 to March 31, 2024, only seven instead of 19 percent VAT will apply.

So far there are no signs that the coalition wants to overturn this measure, even if the gas surcharge falls.

Economics Minister Habeck has also announced additional aid, especially for medium-sized companies, because of the explosion in energy prices.

Here, too, many billions are likely to be at stake, as is the case with a possible state protective shield for municipal utilities.