Italy election: First extrapolation there – when will there be a result?

Created: 09/26/2022, 07:12

By: Florian Naumann

Silvio Berlusconi and Matteo Salvini (right) are also facing a long evening of elections.

(Archive image) © Andrew Medichini/dpa

Italy elects a new parliament.

The clocks tick a little differently - with consequences for the timing of the first results and forecasts.

• Italy

  elects a

  new parliament

  : the polling stations closed at 11 p.m.

  A final result is expected on Monday (September 26).

• Result

  only late in the

  evening

  : The election could strain many nerves - large shifts in the result are possible.

• Italy election:

  All current developments in detail in our election ticker.

Update from September 26, 7:00 a.m.:

The victory of the legal alliance of Fratelli d'Italia, Lega Nord and Forza Italia is also becoming clearer on the morning after the election.

In the latest projection by the Italian television station Rai, the alliance received over 43 percent of the votes.

In the meantime, in addition to the projection for the Senate, there are also first projections for the distribution of votes in the House of Representatives.

However, as expected, the differences between the two chambers are marginal.

The projections for the result in the election of the Senate in Italy in detail:

The projections for the result in the election of the House of Representatives in Italy in detail:

Source: RAI1

Update from September 26, 0.25 a.m .:

Now there is also a projection from Italy.

According to figures published by RAI, the right-wing alliance would get 42.2 percent of the votes in the Senate.

The left-wing alliance of Partito Democratico, Greens and Più Europa landed at 26.4 percent.

The only contested Movimento 5 position ranks at 16.5 percent.

also read

Ex-oligarch warns the West: In this scenario, "Putin will be at the NATO border tomorrow"

Ukraine counter-offensive: front-line officer and experts declare “game changers” from Germany

Update from September 25, 11:10 p.m.:

A preliminary final result of the Italian election will probably have to wait until Monday morning – but according to initial forecasts, the post-fascist Fratelli d'Italia are heading for an election victory.

The post-election surveys are initially characterized by large areas of fluctuation.

The broadcaster RAI1 saw the "alliance" of the right (including the small party Noi Moderati) with 41 to 45 percent of the vote.

Italy election: when will the result be?

Preliminary report:

Munich/Rome – Italy will elect a new parliament on Sunday (09/25/2022).

The result is also being eagerly awaited outside of the Apennine peninsula: According to the latest polls, a shift to the right in parliament seems possible.

And EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is already thinking of unpleasant consequences.

"If things go in a difficult direction, we have tools available," she told students at Princeton University.

On election day, however, Italy and Europe could be full of hope and fear.

A result early on Sunday evening is not only unlikely, it is even impossible: the polling stations will be open from 7 a.m. to 11 p.m.

Only then do the counts begin, immediately followed by the first projections and forecasts.

A preliminary result is not expected until Monday.

In Germany, polling stations always close at 6 p.m.

Result of the Italian election: polling stations open for a long time – and postal votes only from abroad

Another peculiarity of the Italian election procedure could shorten the counting process a little: there is no postal voting in the country.

Only Italians residing abroad may vote by post.

Even this clause has only been in force since 2006.

A possible price for the unusual regulation: a low turnout.

In 2018 it was still 73 percent.

Now, however, a very low turnout is expected.

The election date is also a novelty – for the first time since the Second World War, Italy is voting in the fall.

These are early elections because Italy's previous Prime Minister Mario Draghi resigned in the summer.

Result from Italy: Surveys point to strong shifts

It already seems clear that there will be some changes in the outcome of the election compared to the previous election.

The latest polls are from September 9th – Italy has a polling ban for the two weeks leading up to the election – but they point to an election victory for the post-fascist Fratelli d'Italia of frontwoman Giorgia Meloni.

The legal alliance of Fratelli, Lega and Forza Italia could move into the government.

In the following table you can see the latest poll commissioned by the broadcaster

and the result of the previous election in comparison:

*2018 part of the "Italia Europa Insieme" list, 2022 "Verdi/Sinistra" |

**now defunct

Another special feature should also be noted: a third of the seats are allocated by majority voting.

The result of pure party votes is therefore not synonymous with the distribution of seats in parliament.

By the way, von der Leyen quickly got headwind for her statement.

Former Italian interior minister and head of the right-wing Lega, Matteo Salvini, demanded “an apology or resignation” from der Leyens on Friday, as he

told the

A spokesman for the President of the Commission rejected the impression that she had threatened the promising legal alliance involving the Lega.

It remains to be seen how the new government and the EU will arrange themselves - not only until the results are announced, but also until the government is formed.

(

)