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Opinion Lapid's next step Israel today

2022-09-28T03:41:33.083Z


The assumption is that Lapid aims to establish another government of change • But by changing one given, the entire analysis will change • If, say, we entertain the idea that Lapid strives to reach a strong negotiation with Netanyahu


Yair Lapid's speech at the UN, or rather - the leak that preceded it, marked a new and interesting goal for the Prime Minister in the upcoming elections, a goal that may hint at his plan after them.

On the evening of Wednesday last week, the political system was in an uproar over the leak coming from the Lapid camp about the content of his expected speech.

According to which, for the first time in years, Lapid will speak from the UN stage about the "two-state solution". The political system was in turmoil, and reactions came from all over.

Behind this move is probably a strategic thought for the upcoming elections.

While in the previous election campaigns Lapid played for the bloc, to the point of sacrificing votes in order to save small parties, it seems that in the upcoming elections the Prime Minister refuses to play this game.

In these elections, when the war for the votes of his camp is the biggest, the Prime Minister changes direction from his strategy, and therefore one has to wonder - why?

The leading analysis at the moment is that Lapid wants to eliminate the Gantz option and make it irrelevant.

The so-called: Eisenkot scenario.

Make Gantz small enough for his ambitions to become Prime Minister to look ridiculous immediately after the elections.

Many good ones went through a similar process.

Avi Gabbay, for example, who stormed the leadership of the Labor Party and ran for Prime Minister - was crushed by the results of the polls and the results of the truth.

This is how Lapid wants to do to Benny Gantz.

While this is a correct analysis, I believe there is another point that is being missed during this discussion.

If we start from the premise that Lapid aspires to establish another government of change, his moves indeed lead to the conclusion that his battle is against Gantz.

But if we change one statistic, our whole analysis will change.

If, say, we entertain the idea that Lapid strives to reach a strong negotiation with Netanyahu.

As soon as we change the basic premise, the interpretation is different: Lapid wants to come to this negotiation strong and big, and most importantly - with an alternative. His dividing his members into a bloc seems much more logical if it is a step that he weighs its merits. The first part will be to prevent Netanyahu from turning 61. Lapid assesses, probably rightly, that even with a Shteyeh campaign, Meretz and Labor will succeed in the percentage of obstruction. Then he can say to Netanyahu, "There are three options: either I continue as prime minister of a transitional government, or I establish a minority government, or you take a rotation and give me the first two years" Lapid understands that as long as he manages to stay in the Prime Minister's office and instills the doubt that he will do to Netanyahu something similar to what he himself did to Gantz - he will also be able to sell it to his voters. If this is indeed the plan that is taking shape in the Lapid camp, the last steps are very accurate.

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Source: israelhayom

All news articles on 2022-09-28

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