Ex-oligarch warns the West: In this scenario, "Putin will be at the NATO border tomorrow"
Created: 09/30/2022, 05:02
By: Kathrin Reikowski
Putin escalates the Ukraine war to a new level.
Two Russia experts describe threatening scenarios after partial mobilization and mock referendums.
London/Berlin/Moscow - Some German politicians saw Vladimir Putin's partial mobilization in the Ukraine war as a sign of weakness.
How should Germany and allies continue to behave in the Ukraine war?
Words of warning come from SPD leader Lars Klingbeil, among others, who warns of a Third World War.
One of the main speculation points: How far will Vladimir Putin go?
What happens after the mock referendums that started in eastern Ukraine on Friday?
Two connoisseurs of Russian politics are concerned.
Putin's nuclear weapons threat: Austrian Russia expert warns of Kremlin chief's "need to explain".
In a uniform, Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, observes military exercises taking place as part of the largest military maneuvers of the year "Centr-2019".
(Archive image) © Alexei Nikolsky/dpa
One concern is further escalation after the sham referendums: How serious is Putin's threat to use nuclear weapons?
"The annexations, which will certainly happen, raise the level of escalation significantly," he told the
editorial network Germany
"This increases the probability that nuclear weapons will be used in a major Ukrainian counter-offensive to recapture these regions," says Gerhard Mangott, a political scientist from Austria.
The annexed Crimea was attacked by Ukraine.
But an advance of Ukrainian infantry on areas that Russia defines as national territory would have a different quality, according to the expert.
In this context, he also warns of nuclear weapons.
"Putin would then have trouble explaining how it is possible that Ukrainian troops are occupying Russian territory."
is an Austrian political scientist with a focus on Russia and Eastern Europe.
Ex-Russian oligarch warns Putin could cross NATO border
The dilemma - supporting Ukraine, but at what cost - has grown following Putin's moves over the past week.
An ex-oligarch who was once close to Putin also warns against giving in.
"Will not organize a massacre": Putin politician surprises with nuclear weapons statement
Partial mobilization: Putin now criticizes "mistakes" - almost every second Russian feels "horror"
“Putin has weaponized energy supplies.
So that the West no longer supports Ukraine,” says Khodorkovsky.
However, this should not lead the West to get involved and give less support to Ukraine.
"If the West agrees, Putin will be standing at the NATO border tomorrow.
And I have no doubt that he will break it for domestic reasons," Khodorkovsky said in an interview with Die
is a former Russian oligarch who has lived in exile in London since 2013 after serving a prison sentence in Russia and opposed the policies of Vladimir Putin.
However, Khodorkovsky sees no danger for a further escalation step.
According to the ex-oligarch, Putin will continue to shy away from general mobilization.
“Because it means giving guns to ordinary people.
This has led to regime changes several times in Russian history.” Ultimately, Khodorkovsky said that Putin's rule could only be ended with violence - from within or from outside.