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With 99% of the vote counted, former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the Brazilian elections by more than five points against the current president, Jair Bolsonaro.
The far-right politician has maintained a consistent advantage over his opponent for hours, defying all polls, until the leftist leader managed to tie, turn the forecasts around and add almost a five-point margin.
The contender Simone Tebet, with 4.1% of the support that will be decisive in the second round, has emerged as the surprise of the day.
The result anticipates a very close tiebreaker, which will take place on October 30, in a deeply polarized country.
Lula, who governed Brazil between 2013 and 2011 and had never won in the first round, has been confident of a victory.
“We are going to win, this is just an extension”,
has assured in an appearance.
Bolsonaro has recognized that "there is a will to change."
However he has added that "the changes may be for the worse".
Lula da Silva, a resurrection
Jair Bolsonaro, destruction as a strategy
Video analysis |
What scenarios are there for Brazil?
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Chronicle | Lula prevails and will dispute the second round against a reinforced Bolsonaro
The dream of a victory for the Brazilian left in the first round was buried.
The president, the far-right Jair Bolsonaro, showed greater strength than predicted by the polls.
With 99% counted, former leftist president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, 76, won 48% of the vote, while his rival Bolsonaro, 67, won 43%.
Brazil held the most decisive and hard-fought elections in recent decades after a long and bitter electoral campaign punctuated by some episodes of serious political violence, such as the murder of at least two Lula supporters at the hands of Bolsonarists.
By Naiara Galarraga Gortázar.
Jon Martin Cullell03:35
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Alberto Fernández and Gustavo Petro congratulate Lula
The presidents of Argentina and Colombia, Alberto Fernández and Gustavo Petro, have congratulated Lula for having won the first round.
"I congratulate my dear Lula for his victory in the first round and I convey my sincere respect to the people of Brazil for their deep democratic expression," said Fernández.
"I congratulate Lula for his victory in the first round, and the Brazilian people for their enormous electoral participation," Petro said.
Before, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, president of Mexico, has done it.
The three leaders are part of the incipient alliance of leftist leaders in the region.
Jon Martin Cullell03:07
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Lula: "I love campaigning and we have 28 more days"
"I love campaigning," Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva reiterated in a Twitter message.
"And we have 28 more days," he wrote on the social network, in anticipation of the second round that pits him against Jair Bolsonaro.
"I love doing rallies, getting on a truck. And it will be the first opportunity to have a face-to-face debate with the current president. So that we can make comparisons between the Brazil that he built and the Brazil that we built."
Santiago Torrado02:46
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Lula's supporters celebrate on Paulista Avenue
Despite the fact that he did not achieve his goal of winning in the first round, the former president's voters gather in the historic artery of the largest city in Brazil, where Lula arrived as promised.
“I voted for Lula so that democracy prevails,” says Monique Souza, a 21-year-old law student dressed in a red T-shirt, the color of the Workers' Party, from the Northeast like Lula.
“It has been a very difficult four years so far, and there is a feeling of great hope that everything is going to change”
Santiago Torrado02:34
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López Obrador congratulates "brother and companion" Lula
The President of Mexico, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, has congratulated Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for the result of the elections this Sunday.
Santiago Torrado02:31
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Bolsonaro: "There is a will to change, but the changes could be for the worse"
President Jair Bolsonaro, in his first statement after learning that he will dispute a second round with Lula da Silva, attributed the results of this Sunday's elections to the impact of inflation on the popularity of his government.
“I understand that there is a lot of vote that was due to the condition of the Brazilian people, who felt the increase in products.
Specifically, the basic basket.
I understand that there is a desire for change on the part of the population, but there are certain changes that could be for the worse,” said the president from the Alborada Palace in Brasilia.
He also criticized the pollsters, who underestimated his support, and said that he will take advantage of the second round to show the policies of his Administration regarding the pandemic.
Photo: President Jair Bolsonaro speaks to the press, in Brasilia / Evaristo Sa (AFP)
Santiago Torrado02:28
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Lula will speak before his followers on Paulista Avenue
The winner of the first electoral round closed his first press conference after the elections with a message to his followers: not having reached 50% of the votes is not a defeat and the final race is just beginning.
At the close, he announced that he would go to Paulista Avenue, where thousands of people celebrate the victory of the Workers' Party candidate.
Federico Rivas01:31
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Lula: "I never won in the first round"
Federico Rivas01:22
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Lula: "This is just an extension"
Federico Rivas01:20
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Lula: "Unfortunately for some, I have 30 more days to campaign"
Federico Rivas01:16
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Lula: "We are going to win, this is just an extension"
Santiago Torrado01:08
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Analysis |
What does Lula need to win in the second round?
By
Antoni Gutiérrez-Rubí
.
He was missing a little, but he was missing.
Lula da Silva is already very close to being the next president of Brazil, but she cannot wait to greet the public while she has not yet crossed the finish line.
It's not the first time an athlete has lost on the checkered line before breaking the tape.
There is an eternity left: four weeks that are very hard for any campaign.
The dilemma for today's winner is: continue with the same campaign, until the last electoral resistance is broken, or adapt it to an exercise of intelligent seduction of voters without a candidate and for abstentionists who are still mobilizable.
Read the complete information here.
In André Penner's photo for AP, the PT candidate, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, kisses his voting receipt after participating in the elections in São Paulo.
Thiago Ferrer24:41
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In the Lula da Silva barracks, first in the count but without the expected advantage, they are already preparing for the words of the former president and candidate.
Jon Martín Cullell
follows the speech that he is going to give from a hotel in São Paulo
Santiago Torrado24:39
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There will be a second round of the presidential election on October 30
With 97% of the votes counted, it is now mathematically impossible for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to obtain an absolute majority of the valid votes that would allow him to win in the first round.
With 47.9% of the votes, the former president will face the current president, the far-right Jair Bolsonaro, in a second round.
It will be the fourth second round that Lula faces in his political career, in which he has contested six presidential elections.
However, with a four-point difference between him and Bolsonaro, it will be the closest.
In the two elections that he won, in 2010 and 2014, the difference between him and his rival in the first round was 23 and seven points, respectively.
And in 1989, which he lost, he was 13 points behind his rival.
Thiago Ferrer24:35
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Former soccer player Romário, re-elected as senator for Rio de Janeiro
The former soccer player of the Brazilian national team and Barcelona, Romário de Souza Faria, has been re-elected senator for Rio de Janeiro for Jair Bolsonaro's Liberal Party.
With 97% of the votes counted, Romário has 29.1% of the votes and is more than eight points ahead of second-placed Alessandro Molon, of the center-left Brazilian Socialist Party.
Rio de Janeiro is the electoral base of Bolsonaro and his family.
Flávio, the president's son, is a state senator.
The federal deputy with the most votes for now is Eduardo Pazuello, also from the PL.
Pazuello was Minister of Health and his performance during the pandemic, like that of the entire Executive, was tremendously discussed.
Thiago Ferrer24:28
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Simone Tebet: the feminine aplomb that surprises the Brazilian elections
By
Naiara Galarraga Gortázar
.
The candidate Simone Tebet, 52 years old, is the surprise of these Brazilian elections that have been led since the beginning of the campaign by two white men with gray hair.
With 90% of the votes counted, the senator - who stood out in the televised debates despite the fact that her political experience is notably less than that of her opponents - was in third place, with 4.35%.
That in Brazil is equivalent to 4.5 million votes.
Tebet was the only new face in the leading pack of these elections and she was, at the close of this edition, ahead of a politician who survived a thousand battles like Ciro Gomes, former minister of Lula da Silva.
His three adversaries have been in public life for more than three decades.
She made her debut as a senator two legislatures ago and previously held a high position in the Government of Mato Grosso, land of the powerful agricultural sector.
Read the complete information here.
In this AP photo by Bruna Prado, Democratic Movement presidential candidate Simone Tebet waves during a campaign rally in Rio de Janeiro on September 22.
Thiago Ferrer24:12
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Analysis |
a broken country
Por Xosé Hermida. En la historia mundial de los gatillazos demoscópicos, estas elecciones brasileñas tienen garantizado un lugar de honor. La legislación del país permitía publicar encuestas hasta el mismo sábado y las cifras de los más reputados institutos del país apenas ofrecían diferencias: la única duda que dejaban era si Lula da Silva, con una intención de voto de alrededor del 50% y más de diez puntos de ventaja sobre Jair Bolsonaro, vencía ya o debería esperar a la segunda vuelta. Las urnas se han abierto y los responsables de los institutos demoscópicos deben de estar a punto de cortarse las venas. No solo habrá segunda vuelta, sino que será mucho más disputada de lo previsto.
Solo hay dos explicaciones: o las empresas de sondeos brasileños son un desastre —y los antecedentes invitan a pensar lo contrario— o los ciudadanos les han mentido cínicamente. Confesar que votas a un tipo grosero y violento, que se pasa la vida insultando y amenazando a medio mundo, no debe de ser un plato de mucho gusto. Las encuestas más o menos se acercaron a predecir la cosecha de Lula, pero a Bolsonaro lo subestimaron clamorosamente.
Lea aquí la información completa.
En la foto de Carl de Souza, simpatizantes de Bolsonaro en Río de Janeiro.
Thiago Ferrer24:03
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Al 90% escrutado, la ventaja de Lula aumenta a casi tres puntos, pero es insuficiente para ganar hoy
El expresidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ha aumentado su ventaja frente al presidente Jair Bolsonaro, con el 90% de los votos escrutados. Los resultados ahora mismo (47,1% frente a 44,3%) mandan a ambos candidatos a segunda vuelta. Los resultados para el candidato izquierdista van mejorando conforme entran resultados de las grandes ciudades y los estados del noreste, donde Lula es más fuerte.
Los resultados han mostrado a Lula algo más débil de lo que predecían los sondeos, pero, sobre todo, a Bolsonaro mucho más fuerte de lo esperado. El ultraderechista, además, ha logrado enviar a gran parte de sus aliados al Congreso y a los gobiernos de los estados.
Thiago Ferrer02 Oct 2022 - 23:36 UTC
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Al 80% escrutado, Lula aumenta su ventaja
El expresidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ha aumentado su ventaja frente al presidente Jair Bolsonaro, con el 80% de los votos escrutados. Los resultados ahora mismo (46,5% frente a 44,8%) mandan a ambos candidatos a segunda vuelta. Los resultados para el candidato izquierdista van mejorando conforme entran resultados de las grandes ciudades y los estados del noreste, donde Lula es más fuerte.
Este resultado es mucho mejor para el bolsonarismo de lo que preveían los sondeos, y eso se nota también en las carreras a los gobiernos de los estados. En São Paulo, el mayor estado del país, el exministro de Transportes Tarcísio de Freitas saca siete puntos a Fernando Haddad, candidato del PT a la presidencia en 2018, con el 85% escrutado. En Rio Grande do Sul, habrá segunda vuelta entre el exministro de la Presidencia Onyx Lorenzoni y el exgobernador Eduardo Leite. En Río de Janeiro, con dos tercios de los votos escrutados, el actual gobernador, el bolsonarista Cláudio Castro, puede ganar en primera vuelta contra el izquierdista Marcelo Freixo.
Thiago Ferrer02 Oct 2022 - 23:21 UTC
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Al 70% escrutado, Lula se pone por delante
Con el 70% de los votos escrutados, el expresidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva se ha puesto por delante del presidente Jair Bolsonaro. Con un 45,7% de los votos para el izquierdista frente al 45,5% del ultraderechista, el resultado haría que ambos candidatos pasasen a la segunda vuelta. Es un resultado mucho mejor para Bolsonaro del que preveían inicialmente los sondeos.
Los primeros votos en entrar han venido de regiones rurales y de regiones, como el norte y el centro-oeste, donde el bolsonarismo obtuvo sus mejores votaciones en 2018. Aún queda voto por entrar de las grandes ciudades y del noreste, donde el PT es más fuerte en los sondeos.
Thiago Ferrer02 Oct 2022 - 23:05 UTC
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