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Brazil votes: will Lula da Silva succeed Jair Bolsonaro?

2022-10-04T03:15:02.202Z


Brazil election: Lula wins first round – Bolsonaro fans speak of electoral fraud Created: 04/10/2022 04:58 By: Lisa Kuner, Stefan Krieger, Jan-Frederik Wendt, Andreas Apetz, Lucas Maier, Sarah Neumeyer Lula narrowly won the first round of the Brazil elections. Bolsonaro fans smell a conspiracy. All results at a glance. Vote counting in Brazil election has started: Lula wins first round. Hundre


Brazil election: Lula wins first round – Bolsonaro fans speak of electoral fraud

Created: 04/10/2022 04:58

By: Lisa Kuner, Stefan Krieger, Jan-Frederik Wendt, Andreas Apetz, Lucas Maier, Sarah Neumeyer

Lula narrowly won the first round of the Brazil elections.

Bolsonaro fans smell a conspiracy.

All results at a glance.

  • Vote counting in Brazil election has started:

    Lula wins first round.

  • Hundreds of electoral crimes in Brazil election:

    More than 100 people arrested.

  • In the elections in Brazil on Sunday (October 2), incumbent Jair Bolsonaro will face his challenger Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

    The information and developments on the Brazil election in our news ticker.

+++ 10.14 a.m .

: Lula’s fans are sobered: Lula was able to win the election, but the result is much tighter than the visitors to the Praça São Salvador in Rio de Janeiro, for example, had hoped for.

"I was hoping Lula would win the first ballot and this nightmare would end.

The run-off election is becoming more and more difficult and tense,” said Juliana Magalhães Nogueira in an interview with

IPPEN.MEDIA

on the evening of the election .

She actually wanted to celebrate Lula's win, but now she's disappointed that her candidate is just a few percentage points ahead of Jair Bolsonaro.

But she also sees positive things: "I was surprised at how peaceful the election was today.

I thought there was more conflict," she said.

Most election observers share their assessment and describe the course of the election as peaceful, feared unrest did not materialize.

Nelson Oliveira Santana voted for Lula and actually wanted to celebrate his victory in Rio de Janeiro - nothing came of it.

"I am very sad that this monster that has ruled Brazil for the past four years is going to the runoff.

We all have to unite now so Lula wins and we oust this fascist," he said.

Brazil election: Bolsonaro fans suspect fraud

Although Bolsonaro has done much better than the polls suggested, his fans don't seem to be in the mood to celebrate either.

This may also be due to the fact that many of them do not trust the polls and were convinced that Bolsonaro would win in the first ballot.

Jair Bolsonaro supporters assume fraud after the first round of voting.

© Sergio Lima/AFP

Regiane Felix would probably agree too.

“I think the whole vote was fraud.

Everything that comes from the Labor Party is fraud,” she said in an interview with

IPPEN

in the Copacabana district about the election results.

“In the next few weeks we are working to show the real politics of Bolsonaro.

Democracy is on our side, not on the side of the filthy and corrupt Labor Party.”

In recent weeks, Bolsonaro has repeatedly cast doubt on the Brazilian electoral system and raised possible electoral fraud.

There was no evidence of this, but many of his followers believed him.

Brazil election: Lula wins first round - runoff on October 30th

Update from Monday, October 3, 6:21 a.m .:

With an unexpectedly narrow victory, the top left candidate Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won the first round of the presidential election in Brazil.

As the Supreme Electoral Court (TSE) announced on its website on Sunday evening (local time), Lula won 47.97 percent.

Incumbent Jair Bolsonaro won 43.6 percent of the vote.

The two candidates will therefore compete against each other in a run-off election on October 30th.

"We will have to convince Brazilian society of our proposals," Lula told disappointed supporters in Sao Paulo.

The fight now goes on "until the final victory, that's our motto," said the 76-year-old ex-president, who ruled Brazil from 2003 to 2010.

He now promised "more travel, more appearances" to attract more Brazilians.

Brazil election: Former Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva smiles at his supporters after the polls closed.

© Andre Penner/dpa

Adversary Bolsonaro was confident of victory despite the defeat in the first round of the election.

"We have defeated the lie," declared the right-wing extremist politician after the announcement of the election results, which differed significantly from the predictions of the opinion research institute Datafolha.

Brazil election: Bolsonaro is ahead

+++ 11:34 p.m.:

Ten percent of all votes have now been counted.

After more than 11.6 million votes evaluated, incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro is in first place with 48.33 percent.

His challenger Lula da Silva is close behind with 42.93 percent.

The two opponents are currently only separated by around 650,000 votes.

A total of around 116 million Brazilians voted on election Sunday.

This news ticker is over for today.

Tomorrow you will find the current status of the Brazil election here.

Brazil election: counting has started – Bolsonaro ahead of Lula da Silva

+++ 10:12 p.m .:

After the polling stations were closed, the first part of the votes from abroad was evaluated.

That's around 300,000 votes.

This corresponds to around 0.25 percent of all Brazilians eligible to vote.

According to the evaluation of the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, Jair Bolsonaro is currently with

46.19 percent of the vote ahead of Lula da Silva (42.34 percent).

+++ 10 p.m.:

In Brazil it is now 5 p.m.

The electronic voting booths are now officially closed.

All votes cast are evaluated.

A projection should follow shortly.

The President of the Supreme Electoral Court in Brazil was "completely satisfied" with the course of the Brazilian election and spoke of an election "within the framework of normality".

This was reported by the news portal

G1

.

Brazil election: Bolsonaro expects clear election victory – Lula sees himself as a “victim”

+++ 8.55 p.m .:

As the

Reuters

news agency announced, incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro announced a clear victory on election Sunday – despite the poor poll numbers so far.

"If we have clean elections, we will win today with at least 60 percent of the votes," he is certain.

As during his election campaign, Bolsonaro raises unfounded allegations of fraud against the Brazilian electoral system.

His challenger Lula da Silva, meanwhile, speaks of an "important day".

"Four years ago I couldn't vote because I was the victim of a lie... I want to help my country get back to normal,"

Reuters

quoted Bolsonaro's left-wing opponent as saying.

+++ 19:48:

In the course of the Brazil election, ever-growing queues form in front of the polling stations.

In Rio de Janeiro, voters sometimes waited up to three hours.

The news portal

G1

reports on this .

Elton Leme, who is responsible for the Brazilian electoral system, explains that anyone who has not been able to vote before the polls close should be given an alternative way to vote.

Cabins close at 10pm (5pm local time).

Brazil election: Number of arrests increases

+++ 6.35 p.m .:

There is a lot of participation in the 2022 Brazil election.

This is reflected in long queues in front of the polling stations in the Brazilian metropolitan areas.

As the news portal

G1

reports, there are said to be long waiting times in front of the polling stations in the north-eastern state of Piauí.

According to this, some voters would have to queue for more than four hours to cast their vote.

+++ 5.40 p.m .:

As reported by

BBC Brasil

, the number of crimes during the Brazil elections continues to increase.

According to the Brazilian Ministry of Justice, a total of 339 crimes have been committed so far.

These include violating the secrecy of the ballot and buying votes.

In addition, it was repeatedly prevented that a voter cast his or her vote twice.

An hour ago, the number of registered offenses was 275. Meanwhile, 130 people have been arrested.

Brazil election: Lula celebrates victory in New Zealand – hundreds of election crimes registered

+++ 16:57:

In New Zealand, the Brazil election is already over.

A total of 451 valid votes were cast on the island nation, resulting in a clear victory for Bolsonaro challenger Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

As reported by the

Rio Times

, Lula received 72.9% of the valid votes.

Incumbent Jair Bolsonaro only got about 15.7 percent.

+++ 4.15 p.m .:

The 2022 Brazil election is not free of crime.

According to the Brazilian Ministry of Justice, a total of 275 election crimes have been registered since the "Eleições 2022" began on Sunday morning.

According to the ministry, the crimes include violating the secrecy of the ballot, buying votes and casting votes without permission.

A total of 121 people have been arrested so far, writes

CNN Brasil

.

As the Brazilian news portal

G1

reports , perpetrators of electoral fraud can expect a prison sentence of up to six months.

News about the Brazil election: 700,000 foreign Brazilians eligible to vote

+++ 3.20 p.m .:

The voting booths have been open for two hours.

Brazil now has the choice between incumbent far-right President Jair Bolsonaro and his left-wing opponent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

You can also vote abroad.

According to CNN Brasil

, almost 700,000 Brazilians in 29 countries are

now eligible to vote.

With 183,000 eligible voters, the United States is the country with the largest proportion of foreign voters.

In Portugal, the first election crime in the 2022 Brazil elections has already taken place in a voting booth.

In Lisbon, a man had tried to cast his vote several times.

The incident happened about an hour after the election began, according to

CNN Brasil

.

The Federal Highway Police intervened immediately.

Brazil Election: Voting Has Begun - 156 Million Eligible Voters

+++ 1:56 p.m .:

The presidential election in Brazil has begun.

In Sunday's vote, left-wing ex-head of state Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will challenge right-wing incumbent Jair Bolsonaro.

More than 156 million eligible voters are asked to vote on their new head of state.

If none of the candidates receive more than 50 percent of the votes in the first ballot, the two strongest candidates will meet in a runoff on October 30.

In addition to the future president, MPs, senators and governors are also elected.

The first results are expected on Monday night.

Brazil election: poll sees challenger Lula da Silva ahead - will he succeed Bolsonaro?

+++ 11.15 a.m .:

In the election in Brazil, the left-wing challenger Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, according to the Brazilian polling institute Datafolha, currently has 50 percent of the votes, the right-wing incumbent Jair Bolsonaro has 36 percent, as reported by

CNN Brasil

.

The pollsters interviewed 6,800 people personally between Friday (September 30) and Saturday (October 1).

According to the Datafolha statisticians, the actual result can deviate by two percentage points.

For incumbent Bolsonaro, the election could spell the end of his presidency, but like former US President Donald Trump, Bolsonaro may not want to recognize the result.

In view of an impending defeat, he sowed doubts about the Brazilian electoral system in advance.

Political experts therefore consider it crucial that challenger Lula da Silva receives more than 50 percent of the votes in the first ballot.

Then no second ballot would be necessary.

Otherwise, a runoff election would take place on October 30th.

Brazil election: will Bolsonaro be voted out?

fear of escalation

Update from Sunday, October 2nd, 7.51 a.m .:

In Brazil there will be elections this Sunday.

More than 156 million eligible voters are asked to vote on their new head of state.

The first results can be expected on Monday night.

The right-wing incumbent Jair Bolsonaro and the left-wing ex-president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are up for election.

In polls, Lula, who ruled Brazil from 2003 to 2010, is well ahead of Bolsonaro.

The election divided Brazil extremely.

Lula calls Bolsonaro a genocide because of his hesitant corona policy, Bolsonaro scolds his opponent after his conviction for corruption as a thief.

Similar to former US President Donald Trump, Bolsonaro has already indicated that he may not recognize the result.

Many of his supporters are armed and are calling for a military coup.

"Whether there is a peaceful handover after the election can strengthen or weaken democracy," said Oliver Stuenkel from the Getúlio Vargas Foundation of the German Press Agency.

"And given Brazil's size, that's important for democracy around the world."

Brazil election: Fear of escalation overshadows presidential elections

+++ 9:17 p.m .:

Before the election in Brazil, 34 people were arrested in the Latin American country for attempted election manipulation.

In addition, three million reais (565,000 euros) were confiscated during the operation, which has been ongoing since last Monday, as the Ministry of Justice announced on Saturday.

On Saturday alone, the day before the first round of voting, eleven suspects were arrested.

In seven cases it was an attempt to buy votes.

To prevent acts of violence during the election, the Supreme Electoral Court banned civilians from carrying weapons between Saturday and Monday.

However, Attorney General Anderson Torres said it was very difficult to enforce.

Ex-military Bolsonaro relaxed gun laws significantly at the beginning of his term in office.

According to official figures, this increased the number of legal weapons in civilian hands by 187 percent to over one million.

Brazil election: Fear of escalation overshadows presidential elections

+++ 5 p.m.:

The election in Brazil is overshadowed by the fear of possible unrest.

Bolsonaro has said several times that he will contest the election result if he loses.

"Only God" can remove him from office, he says, claiming without any evidence that there is widespread fraud in Brazil's electronic voting system.

At a campaign event, Bolsonaro said there were only three possible outcomes for him: "prison, death or victory".

His opponent Lula said on Friday that he feared Bolsonaro could cause "unrest" in the event of a defeat.

Many people are braced for a Brazilian version of the unrest that shook the US after Bolsonaro's political idol Donald Trump refused to acknowledge his defeat.

Michael Shifter of the Inter-American Dialogue political institute told

AFP

that "democracy" itself was up for election in the election.

Bolsonaro is the "most undemocratic president" since Brazil's military dictatorship from 1964 to 1985 - the end of which the incumbent president openly regrets.

Some degree of rioting and violence in the wake of the election is "probably likely," Shifter said.

Brazil election 2022: the military wants to check the election itself - Bolsonaro could not recognize the result

+++ 2:52 p.m .:

In the course of the upcoming elections in Brazil, the military has announced that it will independently monitor and check the elections by means of a sample count.

This is reported by the

Development Policy Online

portal .

If the official result differs from their count, the military wants to object to the election.

This empowers the military to have a say in the outcome of the election.

In the run-up to the Brazilian elections, Bolsonaro had repeatedly questioned the reliability of the electronic voting system and announced that he would not accept an election result in favor of his opponent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

The electronic voting booths were only subjected to a security test in May, which was passed without any errors.

Interviewed by

National Public Radio

on Friday (September 30), Michel Kovacs, Rio's chief technology officer, stated that the digital ballot boxes are "absolutely secure, absolutely reliable and absolutely transparent."

Brazil election: Lula ahead in polls – Bolsonaro could not recognize the result

Update from Saturday, October 01, 2022, 10:40 a.m .:

Brazil will be elected on Sunday: The country is facing a choice of direction, the right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro could be voted out.

According to current polls, his challenger Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has 48 percent of the votes, Bolsonaro only 34 percent.

Given his likely defeat, Bolsonaro has hinted that he might not accept the election result if leftist presidential candidate Lula da Silva wins.

The only way for the opposition to prevent him from running for a second term is to steal the election, Bolsonaro said.

This rhetoric resonates with his followers, according to

Foreign

Policy

.

About a quarter of the approximately 50 million Brazilians polled to vote for Bolsonaro said the president should not recognize the result if he loses.

Brazil election: Bolsonaro speaks of security gaps - but there is no evidence

+++ 6.45 p.m .:

Electronic voting has been taking place in Brazil since 1996.

Incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro recently sowed doubts about the security of these electoral systems, as the British news channel

BBC

writes.

"The system is completely vulnerable," Bolsonaro said during the election campaign.

However, Bolsonaro has not provided any evidence for his allegations against the system.

After the 2014 Brazilian elections, the votes on the electronic machines were checked with the result that there was no election fraud, as reported by the

BBC

.

Brazil election: Neymar promotes Bolsonaro with TikTok video

+++ 15:56:

The Brazilian football superstar Neymar advertised the far-right President Jair Bolsonaro on the Internet.

The Paris St. Germain attacking player published a video on TikTok in which he mimes a song with a smile that calls for a vote for Bolsonaro.

Bolsonaro tweeted Neymar's video and added "Thanks @neymarjr!" as a comment.

The day before, Neymar, who has more than eight million subscribers on TikTok and almost 180 million on Instagram, thanked Bolsonaro for a visit to a children's center he had founded in Sao Paulo.

Communications Minister Fabio Faria and Bolsonaro's son distributed a corresponding video message from the captain of the Brazilian national team.

While other Brazilian footballers such as Rai (ex-Paris) or Juninho (ex-Lyon) have already expressed their sympathies for Lula, Neymar is the first current Brazil international to voice his support for either candidate.

Brazil election: Bolsonaro and Lula call each other 'liars'

First report from Friday, September 30th, 2022:

Rio de Janeiro – Before the first round of the presidential election in Brazil on Sunday (October 2nd), challenger Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is clearly ahead of incumbent Jair Bolsonaro in the polls.

In a survey by the Datafolha institute, 48 percent of the votes went to the challenger, while the incumbent only got 34 percent.

With polemical attacks on Lula da Silva, the right-wing head of state denied the TV duel a few days before the presidential election.

The 67-year-old insulted Lula on Thursday (September 29) in front of an audience of millions as a "liar", "ex-prisoner" and "traitor to the fatherland" and made no secret of his personal dislike for the left-wing ex-president.

Brazil election: Lula clearly ahead of Bolsonaro

Bolsonaro also accused Lula of leading a gang of "thieves" during his tenure and referred to the corruption scandal involving state-owned oil company Petrobras.

Lula spent a total of 18 months in prison over the scandal in 2018 and 2019, but his sentences were overturned by Brazil's Supreme Court on formal grounds.

"The people will send you home on October 2," replied Lula, who is well ahead of the incumbent in the polls.

He also accused Bolsonaro of being a "liar".

"How can you look in the mirror when you see what happened under your administration?" Lula asked.

He referred to a scandal in the Ministry of Education and the allegations against Bolsonaro's eldest son, who is suspected of embezzling funds.

  • Who vote?

  • According to official figures from the Supreme Electoral Court (TSE), 156,454,011 Brazilians will be eligible to vote on October 2, up six percent from the 2018 election. A good 52 percent of voters are women.

    In Brazil, voting is compulsory for all citizens between the ages of 18 and 70.

    However, the fine for those who do not vote is small and therefore rather symbolic.

    16- and 17-year-olds, over 70-year-olds and illiterates may, but do not have to, vote.

  • Who is elected?

  • Up for election are the president, the governors of all 27 states (including the Federal District of Brasília), the members of parliament and one-third of the senators at the federal level (Congresso), as well as the members of the state parliaments.

    All but the senators are elected to four-year terms.

    In the presidential and gubernatorial elections, a runoff will be held on October 30 if no candidate wins an absolute majority in the first ballot.

  • How is voting done?

  • Brazilians vote at electronic ballot boxes.

    Each voter must enter a code that matches the candidate's code: two digits for the president and governors, three for senators, four for members of the federal assembly, and five for members of each state's legislature.

    The electronic voting system, which has been in operation in Brazil since 1996, is regularly criticized by far-right President Jair Bolsonaro as not being forgery-proof, but there is no evidence of this.

    In this way, the incumbent may be preparing to challenge the result if he is not re-elected.

Should Lula receive more than 50 percent of the votes in Sunday's first round of voting, he would have been elected Brazil's head of state in the first round.

If none of the candidates receive this majority, the two best-placed candidates will compete against each other in a runoff on October 30th.

Brazil election: Lula polarized

The left-wing politician Lula ruled Brazil from 2003 to 2010. His controversial arrest knocked him out in the presidential race in 2018, and Bolsonaro came to power.

During the four years of his tenure, the right-wing president polarized like no other head of state before him in Brazil.

(skr/afp)

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2022-10-04

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